When the Nuggets selected Evan Fournier in the 2012 NBA draft it sent minor shock-waves through the fan base. Almost immediately people started talking, gulp, Nikoloz Tskitishvili. The fear of another Skita is enough to gives Nuggets fans the creeps at the sign of any international player. While Fournier has already shaken a lot of the doubt that came on draft day, can anyone predict what the Nuggets will do with the 27th pick in the June 27th draft?
From 1988-2012 we can decipher a few trends. One is breaking down the draft by position, second is to see that 40-percent of the time the pick has been traded on draft day, and third is to look at the length of time the drafted players spent in the league. The last 25 selections that went 27th in the NBA draft can be broken down as follows:
Maybe the Nuggets will follow the trend above and select a power forward? While teams will gamble early in the first round on potential and hopeful star power, teams later in the draft will still have a nice selection of guys. As you will see below, the 27th pick may not have yielded a bonafide star, but the Nuggets could easily get a solid role player.
|Year||Player||Pos||Drafted by||Traded to||College||Yrs in NBA||Years|
|2012||Arnett Moultrie||PF||Heat||76ers||Miss St.||present|
|2003||Kendrick Perkins||C||Grizzlies||Celtics||Ozen HS||present|
|2002||Chris Jefferies||SF||Lakers||Raptors||Fresno St.||2002-2004||2|
|2001||Jamaal Tinsley||PG||Grizzlies||Iowa St.||present|
|1989-94 27th pick||was||the last of||the first||round.|
|1994||Brooks Thompson||PG||Magic||Okie St.||1994-1998||4|
|1993||Malcolm Mackey||PF||Suns||Geo Tech||1993-1994||1|
|1992||Byron Houston||PF||Bulls||Okie St.||1992-1996||4|
|1989||Kenny Battle||PF||Pistons||Suns||N. Illinois||1989-1992||3|
|1988 the 27th pick||was||the second||pick of the||second||round.|
|1988||Shelton Jones||PF||Spurs||St. John's||1988-1989||1|
Of the guys above, Carroll, Afflalo, Kleiza, Thompson, and Battle have all spent time with the Nuggets, but Denver has not selected 27th over the past 25 years. Yes, Kleiza was likely a pick the Nuggets had the Blazers make for them, but it was still a trade.
Only three of the 25 picks (12-percent) washed out of the NBA within two seasons. The 13 guys who are not currently in the NBA and played more than two seasons averaged 6.8 years in the league.
What will the Nuggets do with the pick?
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