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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

The week that was (and how it impacts the future)...

Ap_jr_shooting_mediumWho knew that a typically uneventful week in late August would produce so much Nuggets news that will test the team's character immediately.

Star-divide

First, we learned last Sunday night that Nuggets backup forward - and fan favorite - Renaldo Balkman managed to get himself arrested on "suspicion" of driving while under the influence of alcohol in Florida.  Then mid-week, the Nuggets announced that backup center Johan Petro would be rejoining the team for a one-year minimum contract.  And finally, the NBA laid the hammer on the Nuggets by suspending soon-to-be starting shooting guard J.R. Smith for the first seven games of the 2009-10 season.  The suspension was for an incident that occurred two summers ago, but for which Smith was penalized with a month of jail time this summer.

Combine the J.R. suspension with the NBA "rewarding" the Nuggets with a Western Conference high 22 back-to-back games, and you can break out your "the NBA wants the Lakers to repeat" conspiracy theories early.

There's no reason to sugarcoat it: the Nuggets character is going to be tested right out the gate.  With J.R. (and presumably Balkman) staying home for the first few games of the season, the Nuggets will open underhanded in two critically important games - at home against the always tough Jazz followed by a road date against the equally, if not more, tough Blazers in Portland.  And it's not your average, run-of-the-mill back-to-back.  It's the nasty "nationally televised" late night Wednesday game, meaning the Nuggets won't depart Denver until the middle of the night only to face a Blazers team waiting at home that didn't have to play the night before.  I hope Arron Afflalo is watching Brandon Roy game tape already.

Assuming Balkman gets the typical two-game suspension for the DUI incident, the Nuggets will be sans J.R. only for their next five games after the back-to-back opener.  Those games include a home game against the Grizzlies (who might have Allen Iverson on board!) and then four straight roadies: at the Pacers, Nets, Heat and Hawks.  

I don't believe that how teams start necessarily tell you anything specific about how they'll finish.  Lest we forget the 2004-05 Nuggets were 17-25 before George Karl took over and then won 32 of their remaining 40 games.  But watching how the Nuggets respond to adversity early will give us some insight into how this team spent its summer preparing to replicate, or exceed, their amazingly successful 2008-09 campaign.

Getting into the specifics of the week that was, I haven't had a chance to comment on the Balkman incident and there's not much I can say that hasn't already been said by the readers of this blog.  Simply put, there's never an excuse for anyone - much less a professional athlete with ample cash - not to take a taxi if you think you're over the limit.  And in regards to basketball, Balkman's absence hurts with Linas Kleiza off on his two-year Greek vacation.  Unless things shake out differently with the Nuggets roster, Balkman is the lone backup small forward to Carmelo Anthony.

The Petro signing is solid if not spectacular.  Once again, the Nuggets GM troika of Bret Bearup, Mark Warkentien and Rex Chapman were able to sign a productive player for scrap heap money.  I'm hoping that the cut in pay will somehow inspire Petro to work harder on his game and his footwork, too.  Petro was blessed with an NBA center's body but he was also cursed with two left feet and my shooting touch in the paint.  But for the $850,000 or so that he'll get paid, re-signing Petro was a no-brainer.

I think the J.R. suspension is excessive.  I understand and appreciate the NBA's hard line stance on off-the-court incidents involving its players, and J.R. absolutely should be punished for what occurred when his reckless driving killed his best friend in 2007.  But given that the incident occurred two years ago, just because J.R. went to jail this summer shouldn't have warranted such a prolonged suspension.

But it is what it is and we are where we are.  Assuming for now that Jeff Foster or Marc Gasol or another legitimate center isn't walking into the Pepsi Center wearing powder blue and gold in time for training camp, the Nuggets coaches, players and their fans will have to man up, accept these challenges and prove to the NBA that 2008-09 wasn't a fluke.  Like its 2008-09 predecessor, will this Denver squad be a team of character and mental toughness that won't allow excessive back-to-backs and excessive suspensions to hold them back?  

We just might find out in the first week of the season.

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i wrote this comment on another article but...

i think JR and balkmans suspension will pressure the FO into making a trade

by hvino on Aug 30, 2009 8:02 PM MDT reply actions  

The Grizzlies with Iverson?

They already have Zach Randolph. Is the floor big enough for the both of them?

by the real stranger on Aug 30, 2009 8:53 PM MDT reply actions  

!

maybe they can go the entire season without ever passing to each other!

by InboundingLobPass on Aug 31, 2009 2:36 AM MDT up reply actions  

With AI, Mayo, and Randolph starting, there will be approximately zero ball-movement between anybody

Much less to each other

"I shoot so many 3's because I can't shoot 4's" -Antoine Walker

by LACK on Sep 4, 2009 5:33 PM MDT up reply actions  

Maybe the NBA is on to something!!!

Maybe if I got in trouble for a DUI, beating my wife, shoplifting, or whatever, the company I work for should suspend me.

I loathe the NBA.

by spokenwar on Aug 31, 2009 7:09 AM MDT reply actions  

JR Susupension

However, I’m not worried about JR’s suspension. Kleiza will get a hot hand and take up the slack.

by spokenwar on Aug 31, 2009 7:11 AM MDT reply actions  

JR Suspension

Well, Dahntay will play such good defense that it will even out

by spokenwar on Aug 31, 2009 7:17 AM MDT reply actions  

I loved last season soooo much.

and I just want that to be expounded upon. I hope the Nuggets push through the first 7 games or if anything just pick it up afterwards and burst thru those back to back games. We shall see.

by GottaLoveMelo on Aug 31, 2009 7:20 AM MDT reply actions  

JR Suspension and other things...

Does this look bad to anyone out there? If Ty Lawson turns out to be be Derrick Rose, that would help… but I don’t see things going too well. Who knows… if these guys can play defense it will make all the difference….

by spokenwar on Aug 31, 2009 7:24 AM MDT reply actions  

Ty Lawson is more like a poor-man's Jameer Nelson

Or like Will Bynum with a slightly better jump-shot

"I shoot so many 3's because I can't shoot 4's" -Antoine Walker

by LACK on Aug 31, 2009 9:39 PM MDT up reply actions  

Well........

This will be interesting. I agree with Andrew this will show us if last season was a fluke. I hope that the Nuggets are great this year because the broncos look horrific. (Yesterdays game). And Colorado needs a team to be proud of.

If billups and melo and nene remain healthy I think we are in great shape,

by Agent Fisher on Aug 31, 2009 10:10 AM MDT reply actions  

petro signing..

‘solid if not spectacular’ ?? ‘productive player’ ?? were we watching the same player last year? don’t get me wrong, i like petro, and at that price it’s a good signing, but it’s far from spectacular, because he is, i would say, less than productive. he’s more of an insurance policy, or if a big man needs a rest. he’s better than allen though

by sleepydog on Aug 31, 2009 1:24 PM MDT reply actions  

Petro will be a solid player.

He’s got great form and athleticism but he needs to work on his post game and shooting touch. I think he plays solid defense – see the game when he checked Dwight Howard extremely well – and he’s tall enough to play the 5 for long stretches.

Put Petro and Nene in and watch Nene dominate the inside.

Swats.

by BeefySwats on Aug 31, 2009 1:50 PM MDT up reply actions  

Yao Back This Season

Word is that Yao will return at some point for the 09-10 season from his foot injury. Two thoughts/questions: Didn’t the Rockets get an salary cap exemption for the injury? Do they have to give that back? And, the playoffs become a bigger challenge for the Nuggs this season with Yao back and Petro signed.

by ACEIII on Aug 31, 2009 2:50 PM MDT reply actions  

If the disabled player comes back sooner than expected, then he may be activated immediately, and the replacement player is not affected. However, if the disabled player comes back before the exception is used, then the exception is lost.

by BrianD on Aug 31, 2009 3:39 PM MDT up reply actions  

Why not sign stephen jackson from golden state?

Why don’t the Nuggets sign Stephen Jackson? He says he wants to go to a contender what are we? The good thing is he could start right away while J.R. is gone he can shoot the 3 and he has experience compared to Affalo. The East and West has changed players since last season and some teams have really added strong players we need to do the same. I have seen Stephen Jackson play before and he’s just as emotional as J.R. is. Watching Jackson’s toughness added with Kenyon could really put the Nuggets as one of the teams to be dealt with again. Now that Kleiza is gone we would gain another shooter on the perimeter.

by theunfallen1 on Aug 31, 2009 5:33 PM MDT reply actions  

Nate.....

Can you help us out with ESPN.com’s Nuggets write up today, it’s insider only and I’m cheap.
Thanks!!!!!

by CCH on Aug 31, 2009 6:04 PM MDT reply actions  

JR's number

off topic kinda but did JR switch his number to 5… i knew he gave chauncey 1 but i thought hed go back to 23…. explains why ty lawson wore 3 in summer league…
cuz in a nba live video for 10 it shows him covering kobe wearing 5

by hvino on Aug 31, 2009 6:29 PM MDT reply actions  

Speaking of him covering Kobe

Any news on whether his defense’s inproved? And can someone tell me how well any of our overseas former-draftpicks are doing?

"I shoot so many 3's because I can't shoot 4's" -Antoine Walker

by LACK on Aug 31, 2009 9:36 PM MDT up reply actions  

Yeah JR said he will wear #5

I have no idea why Lawson was wearing #3 in the summer league. Maybe the players are not allowed to wear their NBA numbers in the summer league? Maybe the kid just wants a change.

by Joelsopinion on Sep 3, 2009 1:28 PM MDT up reply actions  

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The STIFF LIST (as of 8/30 by Andrew)

STIFF #1: J.R. SMITH 
Remember when I wrote that J.R.'s "nine lives may be up"? Well, that was last January. With Denver police looking closely at J.R. allegedly attacking former 14er Damien Lolar at a recent Pepsi Center shoot-around, it's clear that J.R. will never mature and it's time to move him.

STIFF #2: LEON ROSE AND WORLDWIDE WES
After commandeering LeBron's departure from Cleveland, Rose and Wes are allegedly working to move Melo out of Denver. Let's hope the Nuggets do what's best for Denver and not these two franchise-destroyers.

STIFF #3: RIC BUCHER
The man who once guaranteed that Kobe Bryant had played his last game in a Lakers uniform has been gravy-training on other reporters' Melo-related stories all summer long. Who does Bucher think he is, a sports blogger?

STIFF #4: MARCUS JORDAN
Like father, like son. Last week, His Airness's 19-year-old son tweeted about dropping $50k at the Aria casino in Las Vegas prompting an investigation.

STIFF #5: INDIANA PACERS
Brandon Rush has been suspended five games for violating the NBA's drug policy and 2010 draftee Lance Stephenson was recently arrested on assault charges. Larry Bird sure is doing a great job re-shaping the Pacers' already shoddy image.

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