It’s trade season. The rumor mill is heating up, and the Nuggets have been mentioned in a few rumors going around. The Rudy Gay rumor, as with all salary dump trades, brought with it questions surrounding performance in relation to contracts. So how are the Nuggets doing in relation to performance and their contracts?
To help figure this out, I looked at 3 statistical categories "Advanced", "per Game", and "per Minute" performance. For significance, I included only players that have played at least 250 minutes. I also looked at each position in two different ways, league averages and starter averages. For this analysis "starters" are players that started at least 75% of the games they have played.
So how are the Nuggets doing so far? Let's start with the big men.
(Note: You may need to scroll to the right to see the entire table. Just click and drag your mouse.)
| Advanced | |||||||||||||||||
| POS | WS/48 | PER | OWS | eFG% | ORtg | USG% | DWS | DRtg | |||||||||
| C | 0.12 | 15.86 | 0.94 | 51.14% | 106.5 | 18.01 | 1.06 | 102.71 | |||||||||
| C - Starter | 0.13 | 18.06 | 1.48 | 51.56% | 108.29 | 19.93 | 1.44 | 102.18 | |||||||||
| JaVale McGee | 0.165 | 21.7 | 1.5 | 0.561 | 112 | 22.7 | 1 | 103 | |||||||||
| Kosta Koufos | 0.163 | 16.8 | 1.7 | 0.585 | 121 | 13.9 | 1.2 | 102 | |||||||||
| Timofey Mozgov | 0.119 | 13.3 | 0.3 | 0.489 | 113 | 13.1 | 0.2 | 105 | |||||||||
| Per Game | |||||||||||||||||
| POS | MP | 2PA | 2P | 2P% | 3PA | 3P | 3P% | FTA | FT | FT% | AST | ORB | DRB | BLK | STL | TOV | 2012-13 |
| C | 23.10 | 7.07 | 3.59 | 51.11% | 0.13 | 0.04 | 16.07% | 2.39 | 1.64 | 67.77% | 1.14 | 2.12 | 4.24 | 1.16 | 0.58 | 1.33 | $5,914,312.78 |
| C - Starter | 29.23 | 9.70 | 4.97 | 51.62% | 0.09 | 0.02 | 12.85% | 3.36 | 2.33 | 69.10% | 1.69 | 2.73 | 5.75 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 1.75 | $9,014,040.71 |
| JaVale McGee | 19.1 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 56.00% | 0 | 0 | 100.00% | 3.1 | 1.7 | 56.70% | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | $10,000,000.00 |
| Kosta Koufos | 23 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 58.06% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 1.2 | 0.7 | 56.50% | 0.5 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | $3,000,000.00 |
| Timofey Mozgov | 10 | 2.1 | 1 | 47.62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.9 | 0.6 | 68.40% | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | $3,140,429.00 |
| Per Minute | |||||||||||||||||
| POS | 2PA | 2P | 3PA | 3P | FTA | FT | AST | ORB | DRB | BLK | STL | TOV | Salary | ||||
| C | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.06 | $3,122.09 | ||||
| C - Starter | 0.33 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.06 | $3,760.95 | ||||
| JaVale McGee | 0.39 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.06 | $6,384.88 | ||||
| Kosta Koufos | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.03 | $1,590.67 | ||||
| Timofey Mozgov | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.05 | $3,829.79 | ||||
The numbers below reflect the player's performance against league and starter average for their position.
First, let's take a look and see how Moz is performing compared the rest of the centers in the league.
- Advanced stats show that his performance is at or below average, but so is his contract.
- Per Game is showing a similar trend, but the below average totals are in-line with the below average minutes.
- Per Minute is where Moz's contract doesn't look so good. His pay vs. court time is close to average. On the plus side, he's a pretty good offensive rebounder and above average shot blocker.
His contract is half the league average for a center, and even with limited minutes his per minute salary is average.
Next up Kosta!
- Advanced stats look pretty good for KK. He's above average in most categories, only knock might be his defensive ratings compared to starters. Contract is well below average.
- Per game? Below average in most categories, but so is his contract.
- Per minute also looks good compared to his contract. Average rebounder, average scorer, below average at drawing fouls, above average shot blocker, way below average salary.
His performance is pretty good for a guy earning half the league average at his position.
Ahh JaVale...
- Advanced stats look good for JaVale, except D. He's not playing starter minutes, but is above average in most categories including pay.
- Per game things start to fall apart for JaVale. He blocks shots and gets paid well.
- Per minute starts to look better, above average offensively, around average rebounder, amazing shot blocker, but unless he's getting paid just for his shot blocking his pay is on the high end.
No surprises here. He's a project, and being paid for potential more than current performance.
Sometime in the future Power Forwards...
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