After being completely wrong about the Birdman Amnesty (okay, my one out was I did say that amnestying him made sense if they had another move they wanted to make that would require the amnesty) here I am to talk about other players who might get the amnesty next year. For the record, I am not at all excited about Randolph, but I'm going to fall back on the "Masai knows a lot more about basketball than I do" defense and hope for the best. It is a tiny contract, so even if he sucks, it's not the end of the world.
From Bill Simmons over on Grantland:
My amnesty odds for next summer: Charlie Villanueva (-400), Metta World Peace (-300), Mike Miller (-200), Kendrick Perkins (even), Joel Anthony (even), John Salmons (even), Drew Gooden (+150), Tyrus Thomas (+200), Carlos Boozer (+250), Kobe Bryant (30 to 1), Paul Pierce (40 to 1).6 My advice: Parlay Villaneuva, Perkins and World Peace. Can't lose.
Why throw Kobe and Pierce in there? Purely for injury reasons — if they broke down in a way that threatened the final years of their contracts (2013-14 for both), it's CONCEIVABLE that their teams could amnesty them to save a ton of luxury tax money. For instance, the Lakers owe Kobe $30.3 million that year. (Thinking.) Shit, they might amnesty him anyway. I'm putting mock money on my own mock odds! Give me $100 at 30 to 1 on a Kobe amnesty!
I'm sure you don't remember, but I've been calling the Kobe Amnesty for next year for a while now. (remember, all predictions guaranteed to be wrong). We'll see, but I am going to laugh my ass of next year when Kobe gets claimed by the Bobcats on Waivers so the Lakers can save $70 million in luxury tax and he has to chase the points record on a bad team.