The impact that the schedule and Nuggets tempo is having on physiology
Its clear by the number of injuries and lethargic play that something is happening to the Nuggets this season. My theory is that basically their bodies are breaking down because it can't handle the strain of their tempo night after night.
As a past nearly elite-level long-distace runner, during my training I can recall a similar issue happen to me. When I continually did maximum training for long periods (4 to 6 months of varied runs of 50 to 80 mile/week), eventually my body would shut down at certain points as it couldn't produce enough reserves to keep up with the energy and vitamin requirements it needed to sustain that level. Usually this would happen after 4 to 6 months of serious training, at which point, my overall performance would decrease or be flat for quite a time (four to six weeks). I would find that after I overcame these lags, my body would eventually recalibrate my energy requirements, and began to modify its physiology to allow me to use and expend energy more efficiently than before. This would eventually lead to a sudden and unexpected surge in performance that would allow me to push my performance for 3 to 4 month. Then I'd stay at this higher plateau for about a year, before hitting another lull. I recall these cycles happening about five times over the course of 8 years.
I think this is likely the problem Karl is having now pushing his team to keep up the torrid pace, both on offense and defense, which is not sustainable, especially given the concentrated training cycles. My assumption is that the team is at a critical juncture in terms of performance, given their style of play, and may have peaked for this period. Perhaps in about four weeks, their bodies will have adapted to their current workload and they can have a surge in performance that can carry them for the season. My assumption is that if they kept their core team intact, with a lighter schedule next year, they could probably produce better results that could carry on for the whole year.
My biggest concern is Lawson, who I'm not sure can continue at the same pace indefinitely, without a severe physical letdown. I notice that he is definitely not the same player on back to backs as during the initial night. I think its important that we recognize that players are humans (albeit very talented) and plan accordingly.
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Whats tragic is that the biggest asset the Nuggets have is their bench,
yet he would continuously play 8 or 9 deep most games. Any other season that would be ok, but with the schedule this year he’s asking way too much.
Deep rotation
I don’t think the issue is how many players play on a particular night, as much as which players are playing. I would think reducing a player by 5 minutes a night is not going to give them that much extra energy. But giving a player a night off now and then would have a signficant effect. Sitting Rudy for Hamilton or Ty/Miller for Stone for 1 night, based on the schedule rather then effort or play quality might give a player the legs to keep the effort up on the rest of the nights.
I agree
A team like the Nuggets should thrive in a condensed schedule, both because they are young (not as suceptible to wear) and also because they are a very deep team. The tragedy is that the starters (+Al Harrington) are playing around 35 minutes a game while 3 players of their 12 deep team are not even utilized in the game at all.
Also, rebounding has been a problem, and to fix this, I think George Karl should always keep Nene or Faried at the PF spot alongside Mozgov, Koufos or Bird and move Al Harrington to backup SF and Brewer to SG in a three man rotation with Afflalo and Rudy. The Nuggets have size, so lets use it!
With this adjustment, the Nuggets would be 3 deep in every position, so there shouldnt be any reason to be overplaying any player.

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