FanPost

Nene or Bust


Yeah, it will probably be bust. Here is why. If the Nuggets resign Nene they have a outside chance at a championship in the next 4 years. Not a big chance but a chance. If the Nuggets don't sign Nene they have no chance at a championship, none whatsoever. Here are some numbers to back this up.

I used PER in this because it is the one number that encompasses most of the game. PER isn't perfect but does a good job of player evaluation in a hurry. Also looking at the PER numbers for different players for last post-season I was surprised by how closely the PER numbers matched my subjective opinions of how guys played.

Miami

Playoffs PER

Season PER

Lebron

23

27

DWade

26

25

Bosh

18

19

Jones

11

11

Lebron's drop is probably the reason his team lost. This was fairly obvious just by watching.

Dallas

Playoffs

Season

Dirk

25

23

Terry

20

16

Barea

17

14

Kidd

15

14

Chandler

15

18

Marion

15

17

Dirk, Terry and Barea hit the switch in the postseason. Not surprising for veterans on a deep team. They also had to pick up some for Butler.

Lakers

Playoffs

Thunder

Playoffs

Bulls

Playoffs

Kobe

20

Durant

24

Rose

22

Bynum

20

Westbrook

19

Noah

16

Gasol

17

Harden

19

Gibson

16

Metta

15

Collison

16

Deng

15

Brown

14

Ibaka

15

Boozer

15

Maynor

13

Brewer

13

Didn't include regular season on these guys but road to the crown could very well go through them the next couple years. Thunder and Bulls are only going to get better and I would take the Thunder this year in seven against the Mavs.

Nuggies

Playoffs

Season

Ty

20

18

Bird

19

19

Nene

17

20

KMart

12

14

Al

12

12

Gallo

11

15

Chandler

4

14

Andre Miller

19

17

Mozgov

N/A

10

The good news is that Chandler can't possibly be that bad again, right? Nene, Gallo and KMart pulled a LeBron. Ty carried everyone and Bird was surprisingly good, although I would say his numbers aren't ever going to be that good again.

The Nuggets regular season numbers are good. Andre Miller will obviously be a quality addition in the post-season. Ty will carry his and hopefully the others will improve. If they dramatically improve, especially with some minor contributions from Moz and Faried, there is real hope. As we all know the Nuggets depth is their strength. However this all hinges on Nene. Without Nene we will be steamrolled as no one is ready to provide what he does. Especially not at his efficiency.

Without a superstar everyone on the team has to play close to star level. Ty, Nene, Miller and hopefully Bird can do that. If Gallo and Chander grow to 17's, and Moz to the 15 range we've got a chance. But again, without Nene nothing is going to happen.

If the Nuggets don't resign Nene they should rebuild. And by rebuild I mean tank. Play Koufos, Moz, Faried and Hamilton 30 min a game. Trade Miller, let Big Al lead the nation in hamburger attempts and have Bird go for the record of blocks in a season. I'd rather know we are going to get a high pick than see the team win 40 games.

Write respectfully of your SB Nation community and yourself.

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