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Evaluating the Denver Nuggets Draft

The "One-Man Fastbreak" is rolling into town.

More photos » by Jeff Roberson - AP

The "One-Man Fastbreak" is rolling into town.


1st Round, 18th Overall: Point Guard, Ty Lawson (UNC), 6', 195 lbs. (in a trade with the Minnesota Timberwolves)

Last night was a huge success for the Denver Nuggets. By trading into the first round to draft Ty Lawson out of, George Karl's alma-mater, the University of North Carolina, the Nuggets have essentially found their backup point guard.

Can the Nuggets waive goodbye to Anthony Carter? Not so fast.

Thanks to reader NuggetsFan99 for sharing this Yahoo! link with these thoughts from Karl on AC and Lawson:

 

"My hope is that we can get A.C. back and Chauncey and have Ty as a guy who will work hard and prove that he’s got to play sometime," Karl said. "He’s a great talent. Over the last four or five years, I’ve become more and more impressed by little guards because you just can’t cover em. It’s hard to cover ‘em. From what I’ve been evaluating and seeing is you’ve got one of those guys who’s very difficult to cover."

 

On that same radio interview with Mark Warkentien the other day he mentioned how much the Nuggets liked having that protected first-round pick and now we know why. It landed the Nuggets a great prospect at a position they sorely needed to upgrade.

I also really like what I'm hearing from Ty Lawson about being a Denver Nugget. I think everyone participating in this blog wanted Chauncey Billups to get a chance to mentor a young guard and Lawson seems like a willing student.

 

"He’s (Billups) probably going to be a Hall of Fame guard and he’s an All-Star guard right now. So I’ll learn tricks of the trade and veteran moves," Lawson said. "He knows how to run a team and be a leader, so everything. In practice I’ll go hard at him He’ll be my mentor."

 

And in drafting Lawson they are getting a guy coming off his best college season. Not only did the Tar Heels win the National Championship (something Carmelo Anthony will be able to relate to), but in 29.9 minutes per game Lawson averaged 16.6 ppg on 53.2% shooting (shot 47.2% from three-point land (51-108)), 6.6 assists per game, 2.1 steals, and only 1.9 turnovers per game (3.48 assist to turnover ratio).

And he turned things up in the NCAA tournament versus LSU, Gonzaga, Oklahoma, Villanova, and Michigan State.

 

 Regular Season    NCAA Tournament  

 Points

16.6

20.8

 Assists  

6.6

6.8

 Steals

2.1

3.2

 

I didn't think the Nuggets had a realistic shot at landing one of the top point guards in this draft, but they went out and surprised a lot of people, myself included, and landed, in my opinion, the most NBA ready point guard in the draft. There is some concern about Lawson's toe injury that he suffered in college, but I don't think it will be an issue.

This is what I had to say yesterday about the Nuggets chances at Lawson:

 

The unrealistic options:
Eric Maynor and Ty Lawson. They may be too rich for Denver's blood, as the Nuggets would have to crack the top 15-20 range to get them ... not exactly the 26th spot that Wark mentioned, but he is a poker player and likes to bluff.

The Perfect Storm ...

Things really turned in the Nuggets favor when at the 13th pick the Indiana Pacers, who were supposed be to drafting a point guard (maybe even Lawson) instead selected Lawson's teammate Tyler Hansbrough. That was the one slip that was needed for a top point guard prospect to slip in the draft and it worked in Denver's favor as it allowed Jrue Holiday, Ty Lawson, Eric Maynor, and Jeff Teague to remain on the board until the 76'ers took Holiday with the 17th pick and then Denver was able to work out the trade with the Minnesota Timberwolves.

I also can't express the importance of the Bulls selecting James Johnson out of Wake Forest at 16. The T-Wolves apparently told teams that if Johnson was available at 18 they were going to take him and keep him. It's always funny how these things play out and for the Nuggets it all ended up working out ... now Lawson just has to play his way onto the floor! But being a Tar Heel should help his cause with George Karl.

 

2nd Round, 34th overall: Point Guard, Sergio Llull (Spain) 6'3'', 175 lbs, point guard*

*The Nuggets traded the rights to Llull to the Houston Rockets for cash
Andrew from the Denver Stiffs is reporting the Nuggets received a record $2.25 million for Llull's rights (an NBA record for a 2nd Round Pick and the money the Nuggets are getting will go directly to help re-sign Chris Andersen.)

 

I was talking to my buddy Rory while the Nuggets were on the clock and ESPN was on commercial break. We were discussing the possibilities of players like DeJuan Blair and Sam Young from Pittsburgh, Chase "Bread and" Budinger from Arizona, and Patrick Mills out of St. Mary's.

As I was making a point, Rory interrupted me with, "Who the !#^* did we just take?"

I was lost for a moment before realizing that the pick was just posted on the television during the commercial break. I had to rewind the live action (thanks to my handy DVR courtesy of Comcast! How about some money for that plug?) and see whom Denver just drafted. Needless to say I was disappointed, but like Denver Stiffs points out ... I think Denver is in a better position now that they have the $2.25 million instead of DeJuan Blair who Chad Ford of ESPN said on Bill Simmons' latest podcast has virtually no ACLs in his knees and may have a very short career.

Quick side note: Hey ESPN ... I realize the 2nd Round of the Draft may not be that important, but we only get two rounds of the NBA draft! This isn't the 6th Round of the NFL draft! I didn't get to see my team's only real pick get announced, discussed by the yahoos on ESPN, or see any highlights of Sergio Llull ... had the Nuggets not made the Lawson deal I would have been even more upset about this!!

 

 

So, the Nuggets reportedly received $2.25 million for their pick to go along with the $2 million to $3 million they received for being under the NBA's luxury tax at the end of the 2008-09 season, as I noted in my blog post here.

That's an extra $4.25 million to $5.25 milion for Mr. Kroenke to spend on Birdman, Dahntay Jones, Johan Petro, A.C., and whoever else the Nuggets decide to add to the roster next season.

Not a bad days work for the Nuggets and a great draft for a team that hasn't had a first-round pick since the immortal Julius Hodge in 2005.

 

 

 

Click here for round-by-round draft results.

Click here for the Denver Post's Mark Kiszla's thoughts on Ty Lawson.

 

ntimmons73@yahoo.com

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This was an excellent choice

I would of liked to see us take a stab at Blair with the 2nd round pick, I understand the knees and probably not what you want in having another injury prone big man, but I loved his play at Pitt and I think he would of excelled at least for a few years as a great backup, I would of liked to see a front line with K-Mart, Nene, Anderson, and Blair in the rotation, and hopefully Hunter would also come back, that would be some good tough bigs that each bring different facets of the game.

"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun" - Ash from Army of Darkness
"H.I., you're young and you got your health, what you want with a job?" - Evelle from Raising Arizona
"It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes." - Agent Rogersz from Repoman

by Broncoman on Jun 26, 2009 12:45 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Selling the 2nd Rouder was the right thing to do

As tempting as it is to agonize over the Nugs not taking a flier on a player with the 34th pick, given the current roster situation and our payroll issues (including our proximity to the luxury tax), selling the pick was the right thing to do.

There were some nice players out there, the cash we got was needed in order to keep Birdman and Jones. No prospect would be worth losing at least one of these important pieces. Hopefully we resign AC for 1-2 years as well.

That being said, I would still like to see the Nugs figure out a way to bring in another body or two to upgrade the rotation. If we can add another big who can rebound and defend and a swingman with a decent midrange game then we’ll be looking pretty good for next year.

by DoubleJay on Jun 26, 2009 1:08 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree with nearly everything you said

I think the team’s tough and physical identity hinges on Denver’s ability to re-sign Jones and Birdman. AC helps with this too, but if we lose either of those other two, the team suffers greatly. Not just on defense, but because both of those players get into opponents heads night-in and night-out, and EVERY championship team has at least 1-3 of those.

by Missing Lynx on Jun 26, 2009 5:48 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

While I agree probably the right thing

I don’t see them resigning Jones when Weems is basically the same type of player, but I agree we need to get the cash to get Birdman signed

"Me fail english, that unpossible" - Ralph Wiggum
"Duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem" - Duffman
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun" - Ash from Army of Darkness
"H.I., you're young and you got your health, what you want with a job?" - Evelle from Raising Arizona
"It happens sometimes. People just explode. Natural causes." - Agent Rogersz from Repoman

by Broncoman on Jun 27, 2009 3:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent write up, Nate.

I’m so stoked about this pick and it’s good to see the guys in charge know what they need for the future. Excellent pick for the future. On the subject of resigning Dahntay, I think that they will even though we don’t want him back on the team. We don’t really want AC either, but we’ll probably have to live with it. The only way I see Jones not making the team is if he, for some reason, expects some huge amount of cash because he feels he deserves it. Which he doesn’t. Clearly.

J.R. is my homeboy

by Greyson on Jun 28, 2009 7:46 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Here's just a few highlights from Ty Lawson

Vs. Duke – Awesome game from Lawson. Penetrates the defense very well
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aVIyl09XvIo

Game Winning Shot vs. FSU – Mr. Big Shot’s Backup Hits a Big Shot
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TgRgE47my7M&feature=related

Ty Lawson vs. Nevada – Great steal and the thunderous JAM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e0dTOMGsBvo

After watching some of those, I’m really excited about this guy. The fact that he went to Oak Hill and to UNC is what really excites me. Last time we drafted a dude from Oak Hill, it went pretty well.

J.R. is my homeboy

by Greyson on Jun 29, 2009 12:16 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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THE STIFF LIST (as of 11/4 by Nate)

STIFF #1: DAN HAWKINS
After predicting 10 wins for his club before the season the Buffs find themselves just 2-6 with four games to play. To add injury to insult ... former 5-star prized recruit Darrell Scott announced he'll be transferring to UCLA after just 1 1/2 seasons at CU. Another black eye for the program and hopefully the final nail in Hawk's coaching coffin.  

STIFF #2: CHRIS PAUL/RAJON RONDO FEUD
Each player was assessed a technical foul after refs had to separate the two in Boston's 97-87 win Nov. 1st. After the game the arguing and posturing continued. As Celtics' coach Doc Rivers pointed out, the 180 lb. fight rule should be invoked allowing the two to scrap because, "It's impossible for them to hurt each other." Maybe Paul should focus more on his teams' 1-3 start and not on the opposing teams' point guard's ability to, "respect me as a man."

STIFF #3: ESPN NBA HEADLINES
The Nuggets headline today reads, "Nuggets sink Pacers to avoid taking first loss." Compare that to the Suns' line reading, "Suns remain unbeaten, hand Heat first loss." Thanks for the backhanded compliment Worldwide Leader. At least Yahoo! Sports got it right, "Nuggets off to best start in 24 years." Maybe I'm being too picky.

STIFF #4: STEVE NASH'S MINUTES
When has it EVER been considered a good idea to play a 35 year-old (36 yrs on February 7th) point guard 36.8 minutes per game? Nash is on pace to average a career-high in the minutes department. And while Nash has averaged 77 games played in five full seasons with the Suns, his chronic back issues could rear its ugly head out early at this rate.

STIFF #5: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
Sure starting the season off 2-3 is no big deal, but when head coach Nate McMillan begins openly questioning the teams' effort to the media ... look out.

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