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Playoffs? Playoffs!

After spending last night discussing and this morning emailing how the final nine days of the regular season will play out, I figured I'd take my playoff predictions to the masses.

#1 Seed L.A. Lakers: Projected finish 66-16
Yes, I'm saying it now ... with a 9 1/2 game lead on the Nuggets the Lakers will somehow hold off Denver and finish 66-16 going 5-0 to finish the season. Pretty bold prediction I know ... what? The Lakers already have the #1 seed wrapped up? Oh. Well then.

#2 Seed Denver Nuggets: Projected finish 55-27
The Nuggets have four games remaining on their schedule and will finish 3-1. The Nuggets will beat the Thunder at home, lose to the Lakers in L.A., beat the Kings at The Can, and finished off the season with a win in Portland.

#3 Seed Houston Rockets: Projected finish 53-29
The Rockets have five games remaining and will finish 4-1 in that stretch to avoid the Lakers in a possible Round 2 matchup. The Rockets play Orlando, at Kings, at Golden State, New Orleans, at Dallas ... they will only stumble against the Magic tonight because of the shock of Manu Ginobili going down for the season and their excitement of being in the hunt for the Southwest Division title will be a distraction tonight.

#4 Seed Portland Trail Blazers: Projected finish 52-30*
The Blazers will finish the season 4-2 and gain homecourt against the Spurs after winning the season series 3-1 on April 8th in San Antonio. The Blazers play out the season: at Memphis, at San Antonio, L.A. Lakers, at L.A. Clippers, Oklahoma City, and finally the Nuggets.

#5 Seed San Antonio Spurs: Projected finish 52-30*
The Spurs were dealt a heavy blow last night as they learned they'll be without Manu Ginobili the rest of the way. You can read about it over at Pounding the Rock. The Spurs will go 3-3 in their final six games. San Antonio finishes their schedule at Oklahoma City, Portland, Utah, at Sacramento, at Golden State, and finally home against New Orleans. I see another loss to a sub .500 team and I think it'll be the Kings who will beat the Spurs to give the Rockets the division and allow Portland homecourt in the first round.

#6 Seed New Orleans Hornets: Projected finish 50-32
The Hornets have a tough six remaining on their schedule. 5 of their final 6 games are against playoff bound teams, but I see them finishing the season 3-3. They play: at Miami, Phoenix, at Dallas, Dallas, at Houston, and at San Antonio. Things look pretty brutal for the Hornets as they'll be battle tested to open Round One.

#7 Seed Utah Jazz: Projected finish 49-33^
The Jazz showed they were not ready to lay down against the Hornets in their 108-94 drubbing (score got close in garbage time) on April 5th. The Jazz will finish 2-3 in their final five games as they play: at Dallas, at San Antonio, Golden State, L.A. Clippers, at L.A. Lakers. The Lakers should have some motivation in that one as they will need to beat the Jazz to avoid playing them in the first round.

#8 Seed Dallas Mavericks: Projected finish 49-33^
The Mavs will beat the Jazz tomorrow night in Dallas to even up the season series 2-2, but the Mavs will stumble after that and finish 3-2 in their final five games, 2-2, after an emotional win versus the Jazz. They should be highly motivated to get to the 7th seed to avoid the Lakers, but I just don't see it happening with losses to both the Hornets in the Big Easy and a loss to the Rockets on April 15th. The Mavs play: Utah, New Orleans, at New Orleans, Minnesota, and Houston.

 

Tiebreakers: After so many possible scenarios we'll see two tiebreakers come into play.

*The first will decide homecourt in the San Antonio vs. Portland series and the Blazers will gain the edge because of their 3-1 series win in head-to-head games.

^The second tiebreaker is a biggie. The Jazz will finish tied with the Mavs and since their season series will also be a tie we move on to conference records. The Jazz hold a 7 game lead over the Mavs there with a 32-15 record over the Mavs' 25-22 mark. So, the Jazz will avoid the Lakers in Round 1 and set up what should be a very tough series against the Nuggets.

Denver and Utah tied the season series 2-2 with both teams able to hold their homecourt.

Predicted Round 1 matchups:

(1) L.A. Lakers vs. (8) Dallas Mavericks
(2) Denver Nuggets vs. (7) Utah Jazz
(3) Houston Rockets vs. (6) New Orleans Hornets
(4) Portland Trail Blazers vs. (5) San Antonio Spurs

 

Please share your thoughts in the comment section below or feel free to email me directly at: ntimmons73@yahoo.com

 

 

 

 

Poll
Who do you want to see the Nuggets face in the first round of the playoffs?
San Antonio Spurs
11 votes
Houston Rockets
4 votes
Portland Trail Blazers
20 votes
New Orleans Hornets
30 votes
Utah Jazz
67 votes
Dallas Mavericks
84 votes

216 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 15 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I really don't care who we play...

as long as it’s not the Spurs or Lakers.

"C" is for Championship...that's good enough for meeeee!!!

by PosterNutbag on Apr 7, 2009 3:24 PM MDT reply actions  

Does it matter?

I have to agree with you PosterNugbag … each team has strengths and weaknesses and really there is no cupcake team this year as the 8th seed could even get to 50 wins.

Pickaxe & Roll.com: 5,280 reasons to be a Nuggets fan

by Nate Timmons on Apr 7, 2009 3:49 PM MDT up reply actions  

Though it seems nobody wants to face Houston ...

Pickaxe & Roll.com: 5,280 reasons to be a Nuggets fan

by Nate Timmons on Apr 7, 2009 3:50 PM MDT up reply actions  

I don't care who we play neither, but I will not be extremely happy with the Jazz...

I do not know why, but I am always afraid of Utah… There’s so much BS in Salt Lake City… and they are capable of winning Denver in the road…
I think Salt Lake City is the best fortress in the NBA… there’s BS there every game.

Pretty optimistic prediction Nate, I see hard winning @Portland, but I guess even winning all the games left is possible for our Nuggets.
I’m hyped for them into the Playoffs, I think they’ll get in the Western Finals, and there, it all will depend on whether Carmelo steps it up finally against the Lakers or not.
Let’s hope he does.

By the way, I’m new here, and I love this blog!!

GO DENVER NUGGETS

by Lucas Navarrete on Apr 7, 2009 3:59 PM MDT reply actions  

Welcome sepioes

Good to have you here sepioes.

Optimistic for sure on the Nuggets getting to 55 wins … that be their highest win tally in Nuggets history. If we have the division and #2 seed locked up then that Portland game might see the starters getting a rest … though I think the team will play hard as they will try to get that 55th win!

Pickaxe & Roll.com: 5,280 reasons to be a Nuggets fan

by Nate Timmons on Apr 7, 2009 4:48 PM MDT up reply actions  

Re:

I agree with you, the important is the Division, and then the #2 seed.
The #2 seed is gonna be pretty hard to clinch before Portland’s game… we probably will depend on this game to clinch it…
do you agree with this?

by Lucas Navarrete on Apr 7, 2009 5:03 PM MDT up reply actions  

I don't think the last game will determine the NW Division

The Nugs are two games ahead of the Blazers in the loss column and own the tie breaker (because of division record). This means that Denver would have to lose three of four even if Portland won out for the Blazers to win the division . . . not likely IMO.

Now Houston could slip in the #2 spot if the Nugs aren’t careful, though they still have games against New Orleans and at Dallas. If they win out, and the Nugs lose two, I think Houston will take over the #2 seed, since they own the head to head tie breaker.

by blooming rock on Apr 8, 2009 12:30 AM MDT up reply actions  

Houston worries me

I could see Houston sneaking close to the 2 seed as well.

The Spurs have a rough road ahead and it’ll be one heck of a finish … everyone keeps winning!

Last night the Blazers, Spurs and Rockets all won.

Pickaxe & Roll.com: 5,280 reasons to be a Nuggets fan

by Nate Timmons on Apr 8, 2009 9:28 AM MDT up reply actions  

Is it true about Giflopli?

Because I heard on another source he was close to returning?

I love the Onion. Go Nugs. As an Av fan first, Bronco fan second, the Nugs are all I currently have going right now.

MHH: Shagging Dater one contributor at a time.

by Bob in Boulder on Apr 7, 2009 4:40 PM MDT reply actions  

Bob in Boulder ... nice find!

The Onion always provides some great humor!

Pickaxe & Roll.com: 5,280 reasons to be a Nuggets fan

by Nate Timmons on Apr 7, 2009 4:49 PM MDT up reply actions  

It was funny

made even funnier because I hate that flopping POS. And he gets so many calls. Hopefully losing the flopinator will hurt the Spurs’ chances.

I’m very surprised the Nuggets are where they are. I was living in Seattle and in attendance for their last playoff series victory. In 1994. Who would have thought at the time, with such a young, promising, up and coming team, that this long drought (hopefully about to end) would happen?

MHH: Shagging Dater one contributor at a time.

by Bob in Boulder on Apr 7, 2009 4:59 PM MDT up reply actions  

Dallas, plz.

They do not scare me one iota.

by A.J. Haefele on Apr 7, 2009 8:33 PM MDT reply actions  

I agree.

Denver has owned Dallas, not just this year, but the past couple of seasons. KMart shuts down Dirk and when he’s not going, the Mavs are not going to win. Utah just scares the bejeezus out of me. I think Denver would win, but I would be very nervous, especially the beacause of the games in SLC.

March Madness is BruceBall Time!

by Volorado on Apr 8, 2009 7:36 AM MDT up reply actions  

Hey Sepioes

Like I mentioned to Jeremy, everyone we wanted to lose didn’t. Suddenly we see a Houston team capable of winning out and possibly taking our 2nd seed. So Nuggets need to go 3-1 now in order to avoid losing out to Houston. Really frustrating that the Nuggets gave up so many games to the Rockets now. Nate, how do you see the rest of the season playing out?

I BELIEVE IN KOOL
"You want to have the Renaldo Balkman problem,"

by shamp ooh on Apr 7, 2009 9:23 PM MDT reply actions  

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