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number of wins


Hey Nate/Andrew (Probably Nate because he actually reads and responds to comments...) how many games do you think the Nuggets will win. At 14-5 now, they are on pace to win 60 games. Is this the season they can actually win 60? What do you guys or anyone else think?

I know the Nuggets have had  an easy schedule so far but I don't think they have played to their full potential for more than 3 consecutive quarters yet. I am guessing it will be a  push and they will win 60 games.  They have a deeper bench than last year. Afflalo and K-mart should be considered for the all-defensive team. Melo is playing like an MVP. The only problem that the Nuggets have is that they seem to take quarters off. If they can play with the same intensity (and I think they will) as they did during the second Heat game, then I think they can win 60.

Poll
Can the Nuggets finally win 60 games in a season?
No. Their record is inflated because they have had too easy of a schedule so far
13 votes
Most definitely. Melo is playing like an MVP. They have been crusing through their first 19 games.
26 votes

39 votes | Poll has closed

Write respectfully of your SB Nation community and yourself.

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One more thing

I’m not the real Chauncey Billups (in case I fooled anyone)

by Chauncey on Dec 4, 2009 2:18 AM MST reply actions  

i knew it

you’re his brother rodney. you have been passing yourself off as chauncey since you were in high school.

pick up a calf every day pretty soon you will be picking up a cow

by nohoops4u on Dec 4, 2009 4:16 AM MST up reply actions  

Projections

I think if Denver is going win 60 and Martin and Afflalo are named to the all defensive team then the defense needs to pick up. It’s been good in spot and Denver has a good record so far.

The defense was real good tonight against Miami. And if we play like this the rest of the year, taking the occasional quarter or game off, I can deal with that.

I know the mantra is “anything other than a win is unacceptable” but I am pragmatic. Like coach Karl who thinks going .500 on the road is OK. I think for an elite team you have to go .667 on the road and .800 at home.

Let me do the math: [ 41 × .667 = 27 – 14; 41 × .800 = 33 – 8 ] = 60 – 22

Wow. How about that. There was some rounding involved. And I think Denver can do better than .800 at home, which gives them room to drop the occasional second game of a back-to-back on the road.

PS: I am a writer, not a mathematician. Please forgive my sloppy notation.

PPS: Nene’s defense has looked pretty good too, lately. Especially his shot blocking.

by Fly Agaric on Dec 4, 2009 2:51 AM MST reply actions  

injuries

will be the major factor. last season melo and kmart played 66 games each. the bench will need to develop, improve and make a major contribution. having 4 new players on the roster the team will get better as time goes on.

pick up a calf every day pretty soon you will be picking up a cow

by nohoops4u on Dec 4, 2009 4:24 AM MST reply actions  

Playing well for "more than 3 consecutive quarters..."

I cannot remember a Nuggets squad that has EVER strung together 4 consecutive quarters of great basketball. In truth, I have never seen ANY team do it. I think that it is the nature of the sport/game and it’s always been something that I loved because every game is like watching 4 smaller “matches” or vice versa. I don’t know the stats, but I bet that winning 3 out of 4 quarters in any NBA game is a near certain predictor of wins.

Nuggets (barring injuries or dipshit trades) will win 60 games but be the 2 seed again in the playoffs.

Practice doesn't make perfect. Perfect practice makes perfect.

by Big Mickey D on Dec 4, 2009 8:55 AM MST reply actions  

The 58 point shelacking we laid down on NOR in the playoffs last year was about as close as I have ever seen to a perfect game but it still wasn’t perfect

by Zachm219 on Dec 4, 2009 7:46 PM MST up reply actions  

That's right!

How could I forget THAT win? It was near-perfect.

Practice doesn't make perfect. Perfect practice makes perfect.

by Big Mickey D on Dec 4, 2009 7:58 PM MST up reply actions  

Before the season ...

I sat down and looked at the Nuggets schedule (like I do before each season) and started tallying up wins and losses. I counted up my W’s and L’s and came up with 54-28. That surprised me because … well, that the same record as last season.

After watching the season unfold so far I think my expectations have changed a bit because:

1.) Nene is playing at a higher rate. (Although I hoped he’d be playing around the level he’s at right now.)
2.) Ty Lawson has taken over already as the primary backup point guard.
3.) Melo is shouldering the load and being the professional on the court that I’ve wanted to see for a few years.

Like many of you I’m a bit concerned that an injury to one of the bigs could really derail the season as I don’t think Johan Petro is any kind of answer for this team right now.

Could this team win 60 games or more? It wouldn’t surprise me in the least, but they’ll have to show more consistent efforts … more games like they played against the Lakers, Warriors (taking care of sub .500 teams) and Heat to get to 60.

-Nate

Denver Stiffs.com: Defending the sovereignty of Nuggets Nation.

by Nate Timmons on Dec 4, 2009 9:21 AM MST reply actions  

Its very possible

I see them winning between 55 and 65 – somewhere around 58-62 is probably where they’ll end up.

I think 60 wins would be a good goal to shoot for, and should be considered a success (for the regular season at least).

by Missing Lynx on Dec 4, 2009 10:43 AM MST reply actions  

If they don't make 60 wins...

please don’t say this poll jinxed them!

Also, I think Andrew had the Nuggets winning 50-52 games, if I recall correctly. Lets hope the main bloggers underestimated them.

Another reason why the Nuggets can get to 60: Karl is finally being smart! He seems to have come up with good rotations and finally realized that AC is hurting the team. Maybe, he read this stat: “The Nuggets are 8.2 points better per 100 possessions when Aaron Afflalo is on the court, +2.1 with J.R. Smith on the court, -17.7 with Anthony Carter on the court”

by Chauncey on Dec 4, 2009 11:56 AM MST reply actions  

Is that a real stat?

Cos while I hear these points per 100 possessions mentioned frequently, I do not know where to find them, and nor was I aware that you could break them down according to the player on the floor.

by Fly Agaric on Dec 4, 2009 1:04 PM MST up reply actions  

I'm gonna say no

I really want them too and they should be gunning for it, but the west is very hard and with our schedule the way it is and with these guys knowing they just want to play in the “second season” where it counts AND towards the end of the season when playoff spots are getting locked in and the Lakers are too far ahead to catch (thanks David stern) and wanting to rest some starters etc…I say 57-58…

by SternfluffsKobe on Dec 4, 2009 1:24 PM MST via mobile reply actions  

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