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Attempting to explain the Nuggets salary situation...

Based on the comments posted in reaction to our column on Linas Kleiza's future with the Nuggets and the Denver Stiffs reader wish list for possible new Nuggets, it seems as though a lot of Nuggets fans don't quite grasp the team's current (and future) salary cap situation. To be perfectly frank, I too get confused trying to follow the NBA's salary cap structure, as it rivals the US tax code for complexity.

But after spending a lot of time reading about the intricacies and rules associated with the NBA salary cap and studying the Nuggets current payroll, I believe I can help explain the Nuggets financial situation. For those of you who already understand how this works, bear with me. But for those who don't, before throwing out names likes Rasheed Wallace or Shaquille O'Neal or Shawn Marion or Marcin Gortat or whomever else you desire to see in powder blue and gold next season, read this...

First off, the Nuggets "fixed" payroll costs (according to HoopsHype.com) breaks down as follows:

DENVER NUGGETS 2009-10 SALARIES - fixed

Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Steven Hunter - $3,696,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420

TOTAL: $69,232,888
(*J.R.'s salary of $6 million is an estimate based on having made $5.6 million in 2008-09)

Before moving forward, take a close look again at that total number: $69.2 million. And that includes one player who likely won't play again in 2009-10 (Hunter), another who will never again appear in a Nuggets uniform (McDyess) and one who will only appear sparingly (Weems).

According to ESPN.com's John Hollinger, the NBA's "luxury tax" threshold - i.e. the number over which teams are obligated to pay one dollar to the NBA for every dollar they're over the tax line - will be between $69 and $71 million for 2009-10 (the actual amount will be announced in early July). That means before the Nuggets tender a qualifying offer to Linas Kleiza for $2.7 million and/or Johan Petro for $2.9 million, or re-sign Chris "Birdman" Andersen for approximately $4+ million, or even think about re-signing Dahntay Jones and/or Anthony Carter and/or any of the players on the Denver Stiffs reader wish list, they're already at or very, very near the tax line.

Therefore, as suggested by Hollinger the first order of business for the Nuggets management brass should be to shed Hunter's contract by either a) enticing another team to take it on by throwing in a future first round draft choice, or b) using Hunter's expiring contract and their own trade exception (from the Allen Iverson-for-Chauncey Billups deal) to take back an impact player with a higher salary, like a Jeff Foster.

Assuming for now that the Nuggets could somehow jettison Hunter's contract for a future second round pick (i.e. not another contract right now), their salary total would come to $65,536,888. Not great for only seven active players, but at least they'd have some wiggle room to operate.

QUALIFYING OFFERS

If the Nuggets are to attempt re-signing Kleiza and/or Petro, they have to make a qualifying offer by June 30th. What this means is that by making the offer, the Nuggets retain the right to match any deal offered to those players by a competing team - i.e. making the players restricted free agents. The catch, of course, is that if no team makes an offer to those players the Nuggets are on the hook for their respective qualifying offers: $2.7 million for Kleiza and about $2.9 million for Petro. Thus, expect the Nuggets to tender the qualifying offer to Kleiza but pass on doing so for Petro.

MID-LEVEL EXCEPTION

Since the Nuggets are well over the salary cap (set at $58.7 million last season and could be a hair below that in 2009-10), their only chance at re-signing the Birdman and/or Dahntay would be to exercise their mid-level exception. The mid-level exception is essentially the average salary of all NBA players (it was $5.6 million last season) and can be given to multiple players. So assuming the mid-level exception is about $6 million for 2009-10 and the Nuggets re-sign Birdman for $4 million per season, they'd have another $2 million of "mid-level exception money" to spend on another free agent or use to re-sign Dahntay.

Contrary to what some of this blog's readers suggested over the weekend, the Nuggets do not have "Bird Rights" to the Birdman. "Bird Rights" (referring to the Larry Bird Exception) grant a team the ability to go over the salary cap to re-sign one of their own players. However, to accrue "Bird Rights" a player has to have played for said team for three consecutive seasons (or inherited in a trade). Neither is the case for Birdman or Dahntay and thus, they are unrestricted free agents that any team - including the Nuggets - can sign if they desire.

The bottom line is that in order to re-sign Birdman, the Nuggets will be using up a significant portion of their mid-level exception dollars, rendering the option of signing someone like Wallace or Marion via free agency a moot point.

Back to the Nuggets projected 2009-10 salaries, let's take a look assuming Hunter is traded for nobody, Kleiza re-signs for the qualifying offer and Birdman re-signs for $4 million worth of mid-level exception money...

DENVER NUGGETS PROJECTED 2009-10 SALARIES - 9 active players

Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Chris Andersen - $4,000,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Linas Kleiza - $2,705,723
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420

TOTAL: $72,242,611

Assuming again the tax threshold is $71 million, now we're at least $1.2 million over the tax line, meaning Nuggets owner Stan Kroenke gets to shell out an additional $1.2 million to the NBA. Oh, and we still don't have a full roster yet and have five spots to fill (three main roster spots plus two injury reserve-type spots). Welcome to NBA economics.

Since the Nuggets have to have at least 14 players on the roster, let's fill out the rest assuming another minimum salary for Anthony Carter (owed $1.3 million which is the minimum amount for a 10 year veteran) and $800,000 per player for the remaining four slots ($800,000 splits the difference between the average minimum salary of first year pro and a second year pro)...

DENVER NUGGETS PROJECTED 2009-10 SALARIES - 14 active players

Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Chris Andersen - $4,000,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Linas Kleiza - $2,705,723
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420
Anthony Carter - $1,306,455
Roster Spot 11 - $800,000
Roster Spot 12 - $800,000
Roster Spot 13 - $800,000
Roster Spot 14 - $800,000

TOTAL: $76,749,066

In this (likely) scenario - which doesn't even include Dahtnay Jones - the Nuggets find themselves almost $6 million north of the luxury tax line, meaning Kroenke would be on the hook for another $6 million paid to the NBA. And again, that's IF the tax line is at $71 million and assuming Hunter is traded without taking back another contract and before another impact player is added to the team. And it's fair to ask: sans an additional impact player, does that roster even guarantee another Western Conference Finals appearance?

So as you can see (if you've actually bothered reading this far), before the Nuggets deploy their trade exception from the Allen Iverson-for-Chauncey Billups trade and take on even more salary by acquiring a big name player who has become too expensive for a financially hurting franchise, they're already deep into the luxury tax. And all this just one year removed from working diligently to get under it.

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Can you please help me to understand why we owe McDyess $3M per year? Why do we owe him money if he isn't playing for the Nuggets? Why weren't we able to avoid this situation? Thank you for explaining the Nuggets economic situation...doesn't look good :(

by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 1:38 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Excellent post. I hope the front office would resign Birdman before they think about bringing anyone else in or trades. That leaves little wiggle room in terms of luxury tax. Luckily, they still have a little flexibility to sign people via the trade exception, but avoiding the tax for a second straight year seems impossible.

For reference, the 2008 Nuggets paid $13.5 million in luxury tax. That was for an 8 seed team which produced 0 playoff wins. That disaster actually enabled the moves that made this season a success. So, use that or around $10 mil over the tax to be an absolute best case scenario for Stan to extend himself. I believe we don't need a big free agent to improve, and this team can realistically get over the top via other ways if the right moves are made

by runningdonut on Jun 9, 2009 1:53 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I guess we have a decision to make. Birdman is no longer that young. Even though he has had a great season it will be a question as to whether the attributes that make him so valuable (athletiscm, rebounding, defense) continue to be available as he ages? If he is still going to break that, by all means, he is worth 4 mil. If not, we have some free agent searching to do.

Please don't re-sign AC!

by Callum on Jun 9, 2009 6:30 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice post. That makes a lot more sense now. I guess we have to wait and see what the nba does on the salary cap hopefully its for the better. Other wise, I don't think we can beat the lakers next year.(if they win this year)

GO NUGGETS!

by Agent Fisher on Jun 9, 2009 9:31 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Nice post - the only thing that I'm not sure I understand is how the $10 million trade exception gets used. Is it something that you can use that circumvents the luxury tax but is in addition to salaries you're already paying?

The McDyess thing bugs me too, but only because we couldn't get him to play here -- since his salary was necessary to get Billups, though, I'm OK with paying it. Otherwise, he could have seriously helped us out in our championship bid. That guy is seriously a tool.

by grantarchy on Jun 9, 2009 10:17 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Anon,

Contracts in the NBA are guaranteed. As part of the Billups trade, Denver agreed to take McDyess's contract from Detroit. It also helped the salaries line up, but they could have used the camby trade exemption, so it wasn't necessary to make the salaries line up. After the trade, McDyess agreed to a buyout which reduced the amount of money Denver had to pay him, but which leaves $3 million on the books for next season.

Grant,

My understanding of the trade exemption is that it allows teams to trade for players without the contracts being within 125% of each other, plus 100,000. So, with the roughly $10 million exemption left from the Billups trade (the camby exemption was included in the billups trade to extend it's term), they could trade a player making $2 million for a player making $12 million. I do not believe it applies to free agents - I think you would have to do a sign and trade. The exemptions are good for 1 year from the date of the trade, so they have until the early part of the season to use it. They could also throw it in as part of a three team trade to move one of their contracts, as Andrew mentioned. So they could give a team Hunter and the exemption to get rid of Hunters contract. Even better would be to find someone to take KMarts contract and the exemption.

by KarlSucks on Jun 9, 2009 11:05 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

How did something so pure and simple as basketball turn into this? Thanks Andrew and Karlsucks for the breakdown in modern english. The FO showed us last off season that they were either very very smart or extremely lucky. Whatever the case I hope it still works moving into next season. I'd honestly be OK with just an upgrade in the backup point guard spot. But if they can somehow someway find a big on the cheap, I'd be even more content with our chances next season.

by Joelsopinion on Jun 9, 2009 12:15 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I thought the Nuggets bought out McDyess' contract and he signed a new one with Detroit?

by Bryan on Jun 9, 2009 12:28 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

KarlSucks - The Camby trade exception was used in the McDyess deal, but we got a new trade exception as part of the Billups trade. They were actually two separate trades pulled off at the same time.

by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 2:26 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

KarlSucks - sorry, we are saying the same thing, just worded differently. Ignore my above post.

by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 2:28 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Thank you for that post Andrew. I got kind of tired of reading people's comments about how we could obtain Shaq, Bogut, ect. Like I have been saying for a while now, the only way we are going to be able to get another key player in our lineup is if we trade someone. The bottom line is, whoever on the team is making the most amount of money all while doing the least on the court needs to go. That would point to K-Mart but his contract is so outragous that nobody would take it on. So we are back to where we started. I really don't know what to expect. We have no money to sign anybody, yet we still need about 7 roster spots to fill. It just seems to silly to try and speculate with the situation we are in. Only the guys in the FO know what is going to happen. But, imo, something will go down, I just don't know how or when.

by Goldennugget on Jun 9, 2009 2:51 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Again, my head hurts thinking about all this...

Couldn't we ask McDyess to come back and actually play for us this coming season with that money? Or is he locked in to another deal with Detroit already? Not that anyone particularly wants him around here anyway but...?

by Eric K on Jun 9, 2009 3:14 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Great post. As a Piston fan (who watched the Nuggets any time he could this season since the Chauncey trade), its pretty sad that Denver is stuck with the McDyess salary.

I actually wish he would have stayed in Denver to have a shot at the title. I think the Nuggets would have been in the Finals instead of the Lakers, if he would have. McDyess (maybe Bynum too) was the only Piston with any heart this season.

by Justin on Jun 9, 2009 3:27 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Well done Andrew.

To those asking about McDyess and the buyout. McDyess agreed to a buy out of his entire contract for 6 mil. Because his contract (before the buyout) was for two more years, the buyout amount is spread evenly over the remaining years of the contract. This is to prevent teams from using the buyout to avoid the luxury tax.

After the buyout McDyess signed for the league minimum back with Detroit for the rest of the year, leaving him a free agent this summer. If we sign him to a free agent contract this summer, his contract will be in addition to the 3 mil cap wise, not absorbed into it.

by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 4:55 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Here's a quick fix to the Nuggets salary cap woes: incite Kenyon Martin into doing something this offseason to make his contract null and void. I assume that him committing a felony would do the trick. Given how much of a hothead he is, I can't imagine this would be too difficult to make happen. To all die-hard Nuggets fans out there, if you see Kenyon Martin in public, first thank him for his improved effort this past season, then say something horrible about his mother. Then absorb the brutal beating that will follow. Then press charges. Voila, the Nuggets have $15 million in fresh cap space.

by InciteKenyon on Jun 9, 2009 5:10 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Why should the Nuggets pay an extra$506,455.00 for Carters contract?Give me a fucki ng break. This scenario makes me puke
Paying some younger player less to give Chauncy a rest would be more practical than to sign ANTHONY CARTER @ the vet salary.
Anthony gives this team nothing that a rookie wouldn't do
WHAT IS SO GREAT ABOUT ANTHONY CARTER to make you forget how awful he is?
To resign ANTHONY CARTER would be STUPID.

by samIam on Jun 9, 2009 8:56 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

The McDyess deal was shady. The Nuggets didn't have to waive him but I believe it was a trick by Joe Dumars who arranged to hide this from the NBA, that he wanted McDyess to be waived if he were to proceed with the trade. Mark Cuban tried to do this with Stackhouse, it leaked to the media and the initial Kidd trade was cancelled because the NBA would never approve it, knowing it was a trick by Mark Cuban to make the trade legal but re-acquire his player. I believe the Nuggets only bought him out because there was an under the table promise to do so.

by runningdonut on Jun 9, 2009 9:16 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I like the suggestion of the trade with Memphis in your previous post Andrew. I think there are some other factors to take into account. One is that Heisley (owner) is notoriously cheap. The second is that while they are very much below the cap they will have a high draft pick this year and next and will be paying about 8 mil a year for those picks.

So we give Memphis Hunter (who will probably have his contract paid for by insurance), the trade exemption, and various other pieces, (maybe a sign and trade with Kleiza, or one of our high second round picks, if we have to the Bobcat pick) and take back Gasol and Jaric. Both guys have contracts through 2011 and the Grizzlies, without those contracts, could be the biggest players in the 2010 free agent bonanza.

by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 10:50 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

So my final scenario would not include Bird or Kleiza. With Gasol and Jaric it would put the Nugs at just over 80 mil. Luxury tax of 9+ mil.

What this does do is open the Nuggets window for a championship for the next 7 years. Not just the next two. It also significantly improves the team right now and is only about 4+ mil more.

If there is anything this playoffs have taught us it is that high quality big men make the difference. PG's and three pt shooters grow on trees. Young centers do not. With Melo, JR, Nene and Gasol we would have the core of a championship team.

by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 11:00 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

This post reminds me of a funny convesation with my buddy. He was playing NBA 2k9 (great game btw) and he was complaining that 2k9's offseason was terrible he angrily tiraded "I can't trade anybody, I don't have any money to sign free agents and my rookies get paid a million a year to sit on the end of the bench"...I just smiled and replied "Don't blame the game, thats the NBA"

by Zachm219 on Jun 9, 2009 11:12 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

"Unfortunately, I no longer feel I can offer the level of enthusiasm to my duties that is deserved by the university, my coaching staff, my players, their families, and the supporters of Southern Cal. I always promised my self and my family that if I ever felt I could no longer give my full enthusiasm to a job, that I should leave it to others who could."

Quote from former USC mens basketball coach Tim Floyd. I think you know where I am going with this one...

by Goldennugget on Jun 9, 2009 11:19 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

NugzD, I love you man but the day Marco Jaric suits up for the Nuggets is the day I delete Altitude from my channel list. He is horrible. The only positive attribute he could bring to Denver is his very hot wife!

How about Quincy Douby as a backup PG? He is Unrestricted.

by My3Cents on Jun 10, 2009 12:04 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

NugzD, that trade is possible but I don't think it's viable for the Nuggets - here's why. Certainly Denver can try to entice Memphis to give up Gasol by absorbing Marko Jaric's deal and giving back an expiring Hunter contract. The trade exception allows us to not match salaries with them, so all we have to send out is Hunter.

But Denver is taking on $10+ million of salary to make that happen. The cost is actually double because of luxury tax limit and we still don't have a full roster. Why pay lux tax for dead weight like Jaric?

A better solution is to use the MLE(say it's $6 mil) on 2 players - resign Birdman and pick up a backup PG for the remaining 1.5 or 2 mil (CJ Watson from GSW, or someone not as crappy as AC). Then I trust the Nuggets brass to use the traded player exception cleverly to acquire a big. This could be in a 3 team deal, a sign and trade, any number of scenarios. The TPE allows us to take on a bigger contract for free, from a team that doesn't want anything in return - they just want to be rid of the salary. If everything is done properly, you can assemble a Finals team for maybe $10mil over the luxury tax, and Stan won't have to shell out $7 million to have Adrianna Lima in Denver.

by runningdonut on Jun 10, 2009 3:30 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Goldennugget,
Are you saying "Fire George Karl"?

by samIam on Jun 10, 2009 5:14 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

"if I ever felt I could no longer give my full enthusiasm to a job, that I should leave it to others who could."

-- you're saying that Melo should ride the pine more?

by grantarchy on Jun 10, 2009 8:43 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

OK, I appreciate the comments but I think some are missing the point. The point is that we are going nowhere without a real center. We also have to keep Nene as a starting PF and backup center. Stan is going to have to pay to get a real center, why not the Grizz who are probably going to draft Thabeet.

The point is that Gasol is going to be good. Not dominant like Howard or Shaq but very good. His first year rookie per numbers are fantastic and he lead all rookie big men in assist ratio. As Andrew said he will be a 10-10 at least and probably more like 16p-10r-5a-2b. He plays excellent positional defense and is strong enough to guard anyone including Yao, Oden and Howard. This is not just me talking, this is verified by the insider guys at ESPN. Did I mention he was a rookie last year. THIS IS THE GUY WE NEED. We are going to have to pay for a guy like this and he won't come cheap. Jaric is a small price to pay. I think we can all agree we want Balkman to get the backup SF minutes anyway.

by NugzD on Jun 10, 2009 8:53 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Why didn't the nuggets just be cold blooded with mcdyess if the money situation was this messed up? Even though the contract is guaranteed, it is for playing basketball right?

If Mcdyess doesn't show up to play he is in breach of contract I would think. Why would the nuggets allow themselves to be on the hook for a guy who is playing for a competitor?

This McDyess thing seems as detrimental as the Kmart max contract right now.

by james b.(seattle) on Jun 10, 2009 9:51 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Just a few things about the trades that are being thrown around here. The TPE can not be combined with another player or TPE and it can not exceed the value of the TPE so the 125% rule does not apply. For thoes of you who say we did use it in the Iverson deal you need to look at the deal it was really three seperate deals using parts of the TPE to make it work.

by Anonymous on Jun 13, 2009 10:28 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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