Attempting to explain the Nuggets salary situation...
Based on the comments posted in reaction to our column on Linas Kleiza's future with the Nuggets and the Denver Stiffs reader wish list for possible new Nuggets, it seems as though a lot of Nuggets fans don't quite grasp the team's current (and future) salary cap situation. To be perfectly frank, I too get confused trying to follow the NBA's salary cap structure, as it rivals the US tax code for complexity.But after spending a lot of time reading about the intricacies and rules associated with the NBA salary cap and studying the Nuggets current payroll, I believe I can help explain the Nuggets financial situation. For those of you who already understand how this works, bear with me. But for those who don't, before throwing out names likes Rasheed Wallace or Shaquille O'Neal or Shawn Marion or Marcin Gortat or whomever else you desire to see in powder blue and gold next season, read this...
First off, the Nuggets "fixed" payroll costs (according to HoopsHype.com) breaks down as follows:
DENVER NUGGETS 2009-10 SALARIES - fixed
Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Steven Hunter - $3,696,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420
TOTAL: $69,232,888
(*J.R.'s salary of $6 million is an estimate based on having made $5.6 million in 2008-09)
Before moving forward, take a close look again at that total number: $69.2 million. And that includes one player who likely won't play again in 2009-10 (Hunter), another who will never again appear in a Nuggets uniform (McDyess) and one who will only appear sparingly (Weems).
According to ESPN.com's John Hollinger, the NBA's "luxury tax" threshold - i.e. the number over which teams are obligated to pay one dollar to the NBA for every dollar they're over the tax line - will be between $69 and $71 million for 2009-10 (the actual amount will be announced in early July). That means before the Nuggets tender a qualifying offer to Linas Kleiza for $2.7 million and/or Johan Petro for $2.9 million, or re-sign Chris "Birdman" Andersen for approximately $4+ million, or even think about re-signing Dahntay Jones and/or Anthony Carter and/or any of the players on the Denver Stiffs reader wish list, they're already at or very, very near the tax line.
Therefore, as suggested by Hollinger the first order of business for the Nuggets management brass should be to shed Hunter's contract by either a) enticing another team to take it on by throwing in a future first round draft choice, or b) using Hunter's expiring contract and their own trade exception (from the Allen Iverson-for-Chauncey Billups deal) to take back an impact player with a higher salary, like a Jeff Foster.
Assuming for now that the Nuggets could somehow jettison Hunter's contract for a future second round pick (i.e. not another contract right now), their salary total would come to $65,536,888. Not great for only seven active players, but at least they'd have some wiggle room to operate.
QUALIFYING OFFERSIf the Nuggets are to attempt re-signing Kleiza and/or Petro, they have to make a qualifying offer by June 30th. What this means is that by making the offer, the Nuggets retain the right to match any deal offered to those players by a competing team - i.e. making the players restricted free agents. The catch, of course, is that if no team makes an offer to those players the Nuggets are on the hook for their respective qualifying offers: $2.7 million for Kleiza and about $2.9 million for Petro. Thus, expect the Nuggets to tender the qualifying offer to Kleiza but pass on doing so for Petro.
MID-LEVEL EXCEPTION
Since the Nuggets are well over the salary cap (set at $58.7 million last season and could be a hair below that in 2009-10), their only chance at re-signing the Birdman and/or Dahntay would be to exercise their mid-level exception. The mid-level exception is essentially the average salary of all NBA players (it was $5.6 million last season) and can be given to multiple players. So assuming the mid-level exception is about $6 million for 2009-10 and the Nuggets re-sign Birdman for $4 million per season, they'd have another $2 million of "mid-level exception money" to spend on another free agent or use to re-sign Dahntay.
Contrary to what some of this blog's readers suggested over the weekend, the Nuggets do not have "Bird Rights" to the Birdman. "Bird Rights" (referring to the Larry Bird Exception) grant a team the ability to go over the salary cap to re-sign one of their own players. However, to accrue "Bird Rights" a player has to have played for said team for three consecutive seasons (or inherited in a trade). Neither is the case for Birdman or Dahntay and thus, they are unrestricted free agents that any team - including the Nuggets - can sign if they desire.The bottom line is that in order to re-sign Birdman, the Nuggets will be using up a significant portion of their mid-level exception dollars, rendering the option of signing someone like Wallace or Marion via free agency a moot point.
Back to the Nuggets projected 2009-10 salaries, let's take a look assuming Hunter is traded for nobody, Kleiza re-signs for the qualifying offer and Birdman re-signs for $4 million worth of mid-level exception money...
DENVER NUGGETS PROJECTED 2009-10 SALARIES - 9 active players
Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Chris Andersen - $4,000,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Linas Kleiza - $2,705,723
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420
TOTAL: $72,242,611
Assuming again the tax threshold is $71 million, now we're at least $1.2 million over the tax line, meaning Nuggets owner Stan Kroenke gets to shell out an additional $1.2 million to the NBA. Oh, and we still don't have a full roster yet and have five spots to fill (three main roster spots plus two injury reserve-type spots). Welcome to NBA economics.
Since the Nuggets have to have at least 14 players on the roster, let's fill out the rest assuming another minimum salary for Anthony Carter (owed $1.3 million which is the minimum amount for a 10 year veteran) and $800,000 per player for the remaining four slots ($800,000 splits the difference between the average minimum salary of first year pro and a second year pro)...
DENVER NUGGETS PROJECTED 2009-10 SALARIES - 14 active players
Carmelo Anthony - $15,779,912
Kenyon Martin - $15,363,636
Chauncey Billups - $12,100,000
Nene - $10,520,000
J.R. Smith - $6,000,000*
Chris Andersen - $4,000,000
Antonio McDyess - $3,000,000
Linas Kleiza - $2,705,723
Renaldo Balkman - $2,036,920
Sonny Weems - $736,420
Anthony Carter - $1,306,455
Roster Spot 11 - $800,000
Roster Spot 12 - $800,000
Roster Spot 13 - $800,000
Roster Spot 14 - $800,000
TOTAL: $76,749,066
In this (likely) scenario - which doesn't even include Dahtnay Jones - the Nuggets find themselves almost $6 million north of the luxury tax line, meaning Kroenke would be on the hook for another $6 million paid to the NBA. And again, that's IF the tax line is at $71 million and assuming Hunter is traded without taking back another contract and before another impact player is added to the team. And it's fair to ask: sans an additional impact player, does that roster even guarantee another Western Conference Finals appearance?
So as you can see (if you've actually bothered reading this far), before the Nuggets deploy their trade exception from the Allen Iverson-for-Chauncey Billups trade and take on even more salary by acquiring a big name player who has become too expensive for a financially hurting franchise, they're already deep into the luxury tax. And all this just one year removed from working diligently to get under it.
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Comments
by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 1:38 AM MDT reply actions
For reference, the 2008 Nuggets paid $13.5 million in luxury tax. That was for an 8 seed team which produced 0 playoff wins. That disaster actually enabled the moves that made this season a success. So, use that or around $10 mil over the tax to be an absolute best case scenario for Stan to extend himself. I believe we don't need a big free agent to improve, and this team can realistically get over the top via other ways if the right moves are made
by runningdonut on Jun 9, 2009 1:53 AM MDT reply actions
Please don't re-sign AC!
by Callum on Jun 9, 2009 6:30 AM MDT reply actions
GO NUGGETS!
by Agent Fisher on Jun 9, 2009 9:31 AM MDT reply actions
The McDyess thing bugs me too, but only because we couldn't get him to play here -- since his salary was necessary to get Billups, though, I'm OK with paying it. Otherwise, he could have seriously helped us out in our championship bid. That guy is seriously a tool.
by grantarchy on Jun 9, 2009 10:17 AM MDT reply actions
Contracts in the NBA are guaranteed. As part of the Billups trade, Denver agreed to take McDyess's contract from Detroit. It also helped the salaries line up, but they could have used the camby trade exemption, so it wasn't necessary to make the salaries line up. After the trade, McDyess agreed to a buyout which reduced the amount of money Denver had to pay him, but which leaves $3 million on the books for next season.
Grant,
My understanding of the trade exemption is that it allows teams to trade for players without the contracts being within 125% of each other, plus 100,000. So, with the roughly $10 million exemption left from the Billups trade (the camby exemption was included in the billups trade to extend it's term), they could trade a player making $2 million for a player making $12 million. I do not believe it applies to free agents - I think you would have to do a sign and trade. The exemptions are good for 1 year from the date of the trade, so they have until the early part of the season to use it. They could also throw it in as part of a three team trade to move one of their contracts, as Andrew mentioned. So they could give a team Hunter and the exemption to get rid of Hunters contract. Even better would be to find someone to take KMarts contract and the exemption.
by KarlSucks on Jun 9, 2009 11:05 AM MDT reply actions
by Joelsopinion on Jun 9, 2009 12:15 PM MDT reply actions
by Bryan on Jun 9, 2009 12:28 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 2:26 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on Jun 9, 2009 2:28 PM MDT reply actions
by Goldennugget on Jun 9, 2009 2:51 PM MDT reply actions
Couldn't we ask McDyess to come back and actually play for us this coming season with that money? Or is he locked in to another deal with Detroit already? Not that anyone particularly wants him around here anyway but...?
by Eric K on Jun 9, 2009 3:14 PM MDT reply actions
I actually wish he would have stayed in Denver to have a shot at the title. I think the Nuggets would have been in the Finals instead of the Lakers, if he would have. McDyess (maybe Bynum too) was the only Piston with any heart this season.
by Justin on Jun 9, 2009 3:27 PM MDT reply actions
To those asking about McDyess and the buyout. McDyess agreed to a buy out of his entire contract for 6 mil. Because his contract (before the buyout) was for two more years, the buyout amount is spread evenly over the remaining years of the contract. This is to prevent teams from using the buyout to avoid the luxury tax.
After the buyout McDyess signed for the league minimum back with Detroit for the rest of the year, leaving him a free agent this summer. If we sign him to a free agent contract this summer, his contract will be in addition to the 3 mil cap wise, not absorbed into it.
by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 4:55 PM MDT reply actions
by InciteKenyon on Jun 9, 2009 5:10 PM MDT reply actions
Paying some younger player less to give Chauncy a rest would be more practical than to sign ANTHONY CARTER @ the vet salary.
Anthony gives this team nothing that a rookie wouldn't do
WHAT IS SO GREAT ABOUT ANTHONY CARTER to make you forget how awful he is?
To resign ANTHONY CARTER would be STUPID.
by samIam on Jun 9, 2009 8:56 PM MDT reply actions
by runningdonut on Jun 9, 2009 9:16 PM MDT reply actions
So we give Memphis Hunter (who will probably have his contract paid for by insurance), the trade exemption, and various other pieces, (maybe a sign and trade with Kleiza, or one of our high second round picks, if we have to the Bobcat pick) and take back Gasol and Jaric. Both guys have contracts through 2011 and the Grizzlies, without those contracts, could be the biggest players in the 2010 free agent bonanza.
by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 10:50 PM MDT reply actions
What this does do is open the Nuggets window for a championship for the next 7 years. Not just the next two. It also significantly improves the team right now and is only about 4+ mil more.
If there is anything this playoffs have taught us it is that high quality big men make the difference. PG's and three pt shooters grow on trees. Young centers do not. With Melo, JR, Nene and Gasol we would have the core of a championship team.
by NugzD on Jun 9, 2009 11:00 PM MDT reply actions
by Zachm219 on Jun 9, 2009 11:12 PM MDT reply actions
Quote from former USC mens basketball coach Tim Floyd. I think you know where I am going with this one...
by Goldennugget on Jun 9, 2009 11:19 PM MDT reply actions
How about Quincy Douby as a backup PG? He is Unrestricted.
by My3Cents on Jun 10, 2009 12:04 AM MDT reply actions
But Denver is taking on $10+ million of salary to make that happen. The cost is actually double because of luxury tax limit and we still don't have a full roster. Why pay lux tax for dead weight like Jaric?
A better solution is to use the MLE(say it's $6 mil) on 2 players - resign Birdman and pick up a backup PG for the remaining 1.5 or 2 mil (CJ Watson from GSW, or someone not as crappy as AC). Then I trust the Nuggets brass to use the traded player exception cleverly to acquire a big. This could be in a 3 team deal, a sign and trade, any number of scenarios. The TPE allows us to take on a bigger contract for free, from a team that doesn't want anything in return - they just want to be rid of the salary. If everything is done properly, you can assemble a Finals team for maybe $10mil over the luxury tax, and Stan won't have to shell out $7 million to have Adrianna Lima in Denver.
by runningdonut on Jun 10, 2009 3:30 AM MDT reply actions
Are you saying "Fire George Karl"?
by samIam on Jun 10, 2009 5:14 AM MDT reply actions
-- you're saying that Melo should ride the pine more?
by grantarchy on Jun 10, 2009 8:43 AM MDT reply actions
The point is that Gasol is going to be good. Not dominant like Howard or Shaq but very good. His first year rookie per numbers are fantastic and he lead all rookie big men in assist ratio. As Andrew said he will be a 10-10 at least and probably more like 16p-10r-5a-2b. He plays excellent positional defense and is strong enough to guard anyone including Yao, Oden and Howard. This is not just me talking, this is verified by the insider guys at ESPN. Did I mention he was a rookie last year. THIS IS THE GUY WE NEED. We are going to have to pay for a guy like this and he won't come cheap. Jaric is a small price to pay. I think we can all agree we want Balkman to get the backup SF minutes anyway.
by NugzD on Jun 10, 2009 8:53 AM MDT reply actions
If Mcdyess doesn't show up to play he is in breach of contract I would think. Why would the nuggets allow themselves to be on the hook for a guy who is playing for a competitor?
This McDyess thing seems as detrimental as the Kmart max contract right now.
by james b.(seattle) on Jun 10, 2009 9:51 AM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on Jun 13, 2009 10:28 PM MDT reply actions

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