I hate the @#$%& Lakers (Nuggets/Lakers Conference Finals Preview)...
I've hated the Lakers for as long as I can remember.I hate that every stadium they play in (sans Boston) about 25% of the crowd is on their side.
I hate that they've been the beneficiary of controversial calls for as long as I can remember.
I hate that their fans are in complete denial of the NBA's favoritism towards them. (For more on my hatred of bandwagon Lakers fans, I encourage you to read last year's article "10 Reasons Why I Hate Lakers Fans".)
But most of all, I hate that they've always stood in the Nuggets way.
I hated them when they crushed the Nuggets 153-109 in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals in 1985 (after the Nuggets showed promise by winning Game 2 136-114 at the Forum). The Nuggets were an Alex English broken thumb and a phantom call on Danny Schayes in Game 4 away from making that a seven-game series.I hated them when they swept us in 1987 (before that series Nuggets head coach Doug Moe famously said "We got no shot to beat the Lakers").
And I hated them when Magic Johnson hit perhaps his greatest all-time regular season shot when his 30-foot three-pointer sunk the Nuggets in double overtime at McNichols Arena on November 15th, 1988.
My hatred of the Lakers subsided a bit throughout the 1990s as both franchises struggled. My favorite 1990s Lakers/Nuggets moment was when Magic Johnson took the Lakers' coaching reigns in 1994, won five of his first six games and was threatening to overtake the Nuggets for the 8th and final playoff seed. The two teams met in Denver on April 8th of that year - a game that would decide the playoff fate of either team - and the Nuggets beat them soundly 112-99. The Lakers wouldn't win again under "coach" Magic, finishing their season with 10 consecutive losses.The hatred has been renewed over the past two seasons, as the Lakers have won 10 of 11 against our Nuggets, including last year's first round playoff sweep. And not only have the Lakers beaten the Nuggets regularly, but they've hardly broken a sweat while doing so. Their most recent matchup was yet another example of this. With both teams fighting for home court advantage in the playoffs (the Lakers for overall home court advantage, the Nuggets for home court advantage through at least two rounds), the Nuggets came into the Staples Center on April 9th and lost by 14, even though the game was tied at halftime (due largely to an incredible last second three-pointer by J.R. Smith).
It's been fashionable for many in the national media to pick the Nuggets to defeat the Lakers in the upcoming Western Conference Finals. Most point out that this Nuggets team isn't the same team that lost three out of four to the Lakers during the regular season. That's mostly true, except that April 9th matchup discussed above took place in the third-to-last-game of the regular season on the heels of the Nuggets winning eight straight and 13 of 14. Are the May 19th Nuggets that different from the April 9th Nuggets? For our sake, I sure hope so.
I 100% believe that the Nuggets can beat the Lakers, but that doesn't mean I believe they will. But before we get to my prediction, let's break down the series...
THE REFEREESWe've had one intangible category in all our series previews this year. Against the Hornets it was health (advantage: Nuggets) and against the Mavericks it was momentum (also advantage: Nuggets). But against the Lakers, the intangible category has to be the referees. Simply put, you can't break down a series against the Lakers without acknowledging that the Lakers have a substantial advantage with the whistle. Throw in that we're in the midst of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression - meaning NBA gate and sponsorship revenue will continue to plummet into next season - and you have to believe that the NBA will do whatever it can within reason to get their coveted Kobe Bryant vs. LeBron James NBA Finals. For all the talk of LeBron's popularity, remember that the 2007 NBA Finals, featuring the LeBrons vs. the San Antonio Spurs, had the lowest rating ever. Comparatively, the 2008 Lakers vs. Celtics NBA Finals were up 50% over the previous year. The Nuggets won't get any calls in this series.
ADVANTAGE: LAKERS
POINT GUARDBy appearing in his seventh consecutive conference finals, Chauncey Billups has joined some elite company in modern (i.e. post-1980) NBA history. Only Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (and those who gravy-trained on those 1980s Lakers teams like Michael Cooper and Kurt Rambis) have done better when they appeared in eight consecutive conference finals in their heyday. Lakers great James Worthy also has seven straight under his belt. The most consecutive conference finals that Michael Jordan/Scottie Pippen and Larry Bird/Kevin McHale/Robert Parish/Dennis Johnson/Danny Ainge went to was five.
Chauncey's counterpart in purple and gold is another longtime, gutty winner in Derek Fisher. But while Chauncey is the catalyst for all of his teams successes, Fisher has just been a piece of the puzzle.
ADVANTAGE: NUGGETS
SHOOTING GUARDWhen one team's starting shooting guard is one of the best two players in the NBA while the other has had to make the roster by taking a one-year, minimum deal after fighting his way back into the NBA, you could consider this category a double advantage for the Lakers. I thought some of the criticism thrown Kobe Bryant's way regarding how the Lakers played against the Rockets was justified, but he remains - in my opinion - the most focused, best conditioned and most lethal player in the NBA. And while everyone in Nuggets Nation is enamored with what we've gotten out of Dahntay Jones defensively this season, he doesn't even use his six fouls well against Kobe.
ADVANTAGE: LAKERS
SMALL FORWARDJust as no one on the Nuggets can guard Kobe with any sort of competency, no one on the Lakers can guard the Nuggets Carmelo Anthony. The big difference is: Kobe knows/believes this and Melo doesn't. At least not yet. Let's face it: Melo has sucked against the Lakers recently. Rather than take the ball to the rack to punish the Lakers soft interior defense (including when Andrew Bynum is on the floor, by the way), Melo often settles for ill-timed jump shots and fade aways with a defender in his face. During the 2008-09 season against the Lakers, Melo has had a 5-15 shooting game (including going 0-4 from the free throw line), a 5-19 (that's not a typo) night (including an inexcusable zero FT attempts) and a 4-17 affair (also with just four FT attempts). And of course we painfully remember his "We Quit" 36.4% shooting performance during last year's Lakers sweep.
As detailed here and elsewhere, in the 2009 playoffs Melo has grown into the cold-blooded killer/winner we always knew he could be. And with Trevor Ariza guarding him for much of the series against the Lakers, there's no excuse for Melo not to break out of his slump against this team.
ADVANTAGE: NUGGETS
POWER FORWARDPau Gasol has played well against the Nuggets since joining the Lakers in one of the most one-sided trades in NBA history (I'm still convinced that the Lakers/the NBA paid Grizzlies' "GM" Chris Wallace a million dollars under the table after consummating that deal). In his last two games against Denver, Gasol had 27 points/19 rebounds and 18 points/10 rebounds. Interestingly, either Nene and Kenyon Martin each missed one of those games. In the two regular games featuring Nene and K-Mart, Gasol put up much more pedestrian efforts, but the Lakers won each game.
It's been said a lot on this blog but it bears repeating: I've never seen a Nugget play with the defensive intensity of Kenyon Martin during the playoffs this year. And K-Mart's defensive effort against Gasol should be no different. But no matter how hard/tough K-Mart plays against Gasol, he can't change the fact that Gasol has about four inches on him.
ADVANTAGE: LAKERS
CENTERLike the K-Mart vs. Gasol matchup, the Nene vs. Andrew Bynum matchup presents a big height advantage for the Lakers. Bynum weights a lot more, too. At 275 pounds, Bynum is similar in size to the Mavericks Erick Dampier but infinitely more skilled (that's not saying much). But Bynum is recovering from a torn meniscus and hasn't been the Bynum we saw prior to his January 31st injury. Lakers fans are jumping with joy over Bynum's Game 7 performance against the Rockets. But prior to Game 7, Bynum had a sub-par performance against a team that didn't feature anyone over 6'10" for four of the seven games.
Against a healthy Bynum, Nene played pretty well during the regular season. I suspect a more confident Nene vs. a still struggling Bynum gives the Nuggets a slight advantage here, even through Nene is grossly undersized compared to Bynum.
ADVANTAGE: NUGGETS
BENCHIf there's one thing that the Nuggets and Lakers have in common, it's that one of their top four players comes off the bench. That would be J.R. Smith for the Nuggets and Lamar Odom for the Lakers. Both teams also have a scrappy, energy-boosting guard off the pine (Anthony Carter for the Nuggets and Jordan Farmar for the Lakers) and a once potent European player who's now a shell of his former self (Linas Kleiza for the Nuggets and Sasha Vujacic for the Lakers). What the Lakers don't have is energy and defense at the center position off the bench, while the Nuggets have Chris "Birdman" Andersen to round out one of the more memorable benches in NBA playoff history.
In the Nuggets lone win in their last 11 tries against the Lakers, Birdman owned the energy of the game with a remarkable 11 point, 12 rebound and seven block game. Combined with J.R. and A.C., Birdman gives the Nuggets a boost off the bench unlike any other team left in the playoffs and could be the X-factor that takes the Lakers down.
ADVANTAGE: NUGGETS
COACH
While George Karl has been doing his best coaching job in the playoffs since taking over the Nuggets, the Lakers Phil Jackson has been doing one of his worst for the Lakers, considering the talent they've assembled. Jackson was thoroughly out-coached by Doc Rivers in the NBA Finals last summer and almost presided over a historic upset had the Lakers lost to the Rockets today. As we derided Karl for all last season and given him credit for this one, it's the coach's job to motivate his players and keep them focused. And you could hardly call the Lakers recent performance against the Rockets focused.
That being said, Jackson has had Karl's number and it's been Karl who's been unable to get the Nuggets motivated against the Lakers for two seasons in a row now. Until that changes, the edge here goes to Jackson.
ADVANTAGE: LAKERS
THE VERDICT
I'll get right to the point: as much as it kills me to say this, I can't objectively pick the Nuggets to beat the Lakers.
Yes, the Nuggets are playing the best basketball in the Western Conference right now. Yes, the Lakers have stumbled and fumbled their way into the Western Conference Finals. Yes, Carmelo Anthony is playing with a killer instinct/energy level we've never seen in the postseason. Yes, Chauncey Billups has won a championship ring more recently than Kobe Bryant has. And yes, the Nuggets defensively are far superior to the Lakers.
But even though it was a regular season game, I just can't shake that April 9th loss in Los Angeles. Similar to what we're seeing now, the Nuggets were playing their best basketball of the season entering that game and yet that contest might as well have been a repeat of their November 21st meeting, when the Lakers also won by 14 points (notably featuring Chauncey for the first time).
With the exception of the Nuggets 90-79 victory over the Lakers in late February, the Lakers have owned the energy of the game in all of their matchups for two seasons now. That being said, for the first time since 1985 the Nuggets can actually beat these Lakers. And in the Game 1 Preview post, I'll explain why and how.
But for now, my hatred of the Lakers cannot overtake my attempt at objectivity. And therefore, I'm predicting the Lakers to win in seven games.
More than ever, I hope I'm proven wrong.
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All of the LA fans would have normally embarrassed me except that I came to terms with this state being overrun by Californians about ten years ago.
Plus we were sitting in the nosebleeds, which meant most LA fans up there were only about two generations removed from walking on all fours.
Best exchange:
Idiot Lakers Fan in Kobe Jersey stands up during the 3rd quarter massacre: What's up now you bitches?! (He pops out the Lakers part of his jersey and points across the isle to . . .)
Idiot Nuggets Fan in throwback Alex English Jersey: You couldn't afford this jersey! This jersey costs more that your house! (He also pops his jersey too.)
Kobe Fan: F- you bitches!
English Fan: You couldn't afford this jersey!
And they went on like that for about three minutes. Classic .Go Denver!
by Brosephus Maxiumus on May 17, 2009 7:14 PM MDT reply actions
by KaiserSoze on May 17, 2009 7:56 PM MDT reply actions
Not so sure I agree that AC and Farmar match up. Farmar is a much better shooter (even though AC thinks he's a good shooter). Vujiflop and Kleiza, fair match up.
I think Odom is the key for the Lakers against us. Kobe will get his. Gasol will get his. We've got to limit Odom.
If Nene can hit his 12 - 15 footers and keep Bynum out of the paint and Melo stays the course and takes the ball to the rack, we have a decent chance to beat this team.
I do think we'll need to see Ronaldo Balkman in this series though. His hustle and slashing to the hoop without the ball will be very disruptive to the Lakers. And I do not think they will consider him in their game plan. I also think he'd disrupt Kobe if he were tasked with guarding him.
Finally, the lanes at the Forum should have the letters KOA etched into them considering how much camping is done by the Lakers.
I will be counting how many 3 second violations are not called in each game and will report back dutifully in each post game session.
by My3Cents on May 17, 2009 8:27 PM MDT reply actions
Nuggets in 6.
by Bee on May 17, 2009 8:57 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on May 17, 2009 9:04 PM MDT reply actions
The Nuggs need a huge series from Melo, Chaunce, JR, and post players to pull this off. Basically, we need 4 perfectly played games.
by Robin Z on May 17, 2009 9:30 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on May 17, 2009 9:42 PM MDT reply actions
In a nut shell the rule is that you can't be in the lane for MORE than three seconds while your team is in possesion of the ball in your front court. So the three second count stops when a shot goes up. If there are a lot of putback attempts on one play, the player could be in there for a very long time without a three second violation. The three second count doesn't happen when the ball is in the backcourt or if the ball is being held on an inbounds play. A player could be in the lane for all 4.9 seconds of an inbounds play and continue to be there another three seconds making 7.9 seconds in the lane without a violation. He could be in the lane for all 7.9 seconds (backcourt)plus another three after a made shot by the opponent for a total of 10.9 seconds without a violation. The rules also state that allowances will be made for a player who is making an effort to get out of the lane at the end of the three second count. I don't mean to insult your basketball knowledge but I have found that most people who complain about three second calls don't know the rule.
Also referees hate to make that call if there's no clear cut advantage. I reffed a game where a little guy went to the floor on a play and was slow to get up, but getting up. His team retained possession of the ball out by the three point line. He stayed in the lane for quite a while and I wasn't going to call 3 seconds on him so he could get his bearings and then get out. His team suddenly realized he was alone in the lane and passed him the ball. Then I had to call the violation. It's that advantage/disadvantage thing.
Thursty
by Anonymous on May 17, 2009 9:48 PM MDT reply actions
by jbmmlang on May 17, 2009 10:34 PM MDT reply actions
PS. our cheerleaders are actually non plastic, every cheerleader the lakers have have no silicone,they actually despise that look to be a laker girl..
by mbitious on May 18, 2009 12:29 AM MDT reply actions
I now believe we can take the Lakers to 7 games or even better, get one of the first two in L.A. So we might be able to take it in 6, but if it goes 7, we're probably screwed (see Refs).
I don't think past performances against the Lakers are indicative of what will happen this time. Our team is on fire and they have something to prove.
I've never been prouder of a Nuggets team, and I've been following them since about 1986.
Go Nuggets!
by Dave on May 18, 2009 6:24 AM MDT reply actions
by SpokenWar on May 18, 2009 7:42 AM MDT reply actions
They went into that series thinking they'd do just enough to get by, and they did. Rather than wear his team out in the losses, it's almost like they succumbed to defeat and held back their ammo to fight another day. All the games in that series were a blow out and Phil Jackson has coached enough playoff games to know that early rounds against inferior opponents can be played as a marathon instead of a sprint.
I believe there'll be similar strategies in this series too. If we get up big, they won't fight back unless it's a crucial must win. So if we win a game by 20+ I'm not going to go anointing us the champs based on that. They play rope-a-dope as well as anyone in the league.
The key will be, can we make them pay for it and take games despite the Lakers putting forth monstrous efforts in whatever game they decide that's what they want to do against us.
by Eric K on May 18, 2009 8:19 AM MDT reply actions
by Davidfishberger on May 18, 2009 8:41 AM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 8:50 AM MDT reply actions
by patrick in la on May 18, 2009 10:04 AM MDT reply actions
do you believe?
Do You Believe?
DO YOU BELIEVE?!
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 10:13 AM MDT reply actions
CB
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 10:57 AM MDT reply actions
The bottom line is that your advantage is Chauncy. If he can do what Brooks, or any other fast guard out west can do to the Lakers, then you have a shot.
Please add a Lakers in 5 games to your poll so that us Laker fans can call the truth.
But taking one from the Lakers this year will be improvement on last year's embarassment. And remember, improvement is important too. baby steps. Just like getting out of the first round. . .
-Matt
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 10:59 AM MDT reply actions
by Tobin on May 18, 2009 11:10 AM MDT reply actions
Nuggets in 6
by Pusherman on May 18, 2009 1:16 PM MDT reply actions
My fingers are crossed so hard they're cramping up!
by keeperdesign on May 18, 2009 1:29 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 2:37 PM MDT reply actions
So, there are many reasons, as you can see, why I want the Lakers to get beat down and it almost seems too perfect that we of all teams have the opportunity to do so. WE CAN DO IT! I am telling you. I have always been sceptical of this team, even when we were winning by 50 in the playoffs, I have always been sceptical. But no longer to I maintain that position. After reading about Chauncey on ESPN I am convinced he has changed us for good, and that is all we have ever needed to win. I think it is going to be hard to win on the Lakers court but Chauncey did it already once in his career and there is no reason why we can't do it again as this Nuggets team is almost just as talented as the Pistons team of 04. I am going to say Nuggets in 6 but I won't be surprised if it goes 7 and turns into an epic battle. The only thing that really worries me is the refs. If they have a script to follow, they are going to follow it and we can't do anything about it. I just hope Stern (another person I am beginning to hate) has the brains to realize the NBA loves this Nuggets team and another Billups appearance in the Finals wouldn't be bad at all for the NBA, especially when you have Melo and all his connections with Lebron in there too. I can't wait for this thing to get started. This is probably, already, the best memory I have, being somewhat of a young sports fan, of Colorado sports. I just hope it gets better. GO NUGS!!
by Goldennugget on May 18, 2009 2:46 PM MDT reply actions
Jealous of the L.A. lifestyle? Perhaps in N.Y., but not in Colorado. A lifestyle that includes 4.5 hours per day sitting in traffic just won't work here. And we have more sunny days than San Diego. In the time it takes someone in L.A. to drive to McDonalds, people in Denver are in the mountains skiing, hiking, biking, fishing, boating, and living the good life.
Oh, and the Lakers are going down. They don't have a Robert Horry anymore to save their bacon. I disagree with Andrew on one point, and it's a big one coming from me. The Nuggets have a coaching advantage in this one. I include Chauncy as part of the "Coaching". Nuggets in 6!
by KarlSucks on May 18, 2009 2:49 PM MDT reply actions
by magster on May 18, 2009 3:06 PM MDT reply actions
Love the line about Nancy Grace. I watched her for about five minutes a few years back with the whole "missing bride" story. She's on there talking about how there is no way the bride ran away and anybody who believes that is basically an idiot that doesn't understand women.
Couple of days later the missing bride shows up and says she ran away.
Nancy Grace is an idiot.
by KarlSucks on May 18, 2009 3:07 PM MDT reply actions
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 3:42 PM MDT reply actions
by mbitious on May 18, 2009 4:10 PM MDT reply actions
by Goldennugget on May 18, 2009 4:45 PM MDT reply actions
Are you suggesting he should insert something foreign into a certain body part? I'm pretty sure mbitious has time to be on our site because he's sitting in his car for hours on end, not moving. Love that fast L.A. lifestyle - 3 miles per hour fast! Maybe he meant the Lakers are fast - especially Fisher.
Derrick Fisher is so slow, my 90 year old grandmother with a walker just drove the lane for a layup. I look forward to about 400 pick and rolls with Fisher. Either Billups open from the free throw line, or a rolling big for a dunk, or a pass into the corner for a J.R. Smith 3. If the Lakers had trouble guarding Hayes, imagine what Nene is going to do to them. This series will be just like the Mavericks - the star - Bryant - will be allowed to go off for 30+ each game, while shutting down the role players. Unless Bryant gets in the 40's, the Nuggets have a great chance to win.
by KarlSucks on May 18, 2009 4:57 PM MDT reply actions
Myself, I am a Colorado native, and have visited CA many times for business. LA is the shittiest place in CA aside from Bakersfield. There aren't any good qualities in LA whatsoever. The residents are assholes, the air smells like shit, the view is of a giant brown cloud, the traffic totally sucks complete ass, and did I mention the local sporting teams fans are all bandwagon fans. Who the fuck cares what you think about our state. Get a fucking life and go comment on a "I love Kobe" blog or something.
by FUCK THE LAKERS on May 18, 2009 5:12 PM MDT reply actions
Just remember what the Lakers were after Shaq to before Gasol. The key is Birdman on Gasol the whole game.
The rest need to stay out of foul trouble as much as possible, then we should be alright.
Nuggets in 6
CB
by Anonymous on May 18, 2009 9:39 PM MDT reply actions
I'm Done.
Fuck the Lakers.
by itssidgdit on May 28, 2009 12:48 AM MDT reply actions


















