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Around SBN: FSU To Big 12 'Inevitable,' According To Report

Lets make Gregg Popovich pay for his arrogance...

Back on February 3rd, San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich decided to screw ticket paying Nuggets fans by resting his three best players - Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili - when the Spurs made their second and final appearance of the regular season in Denver. By "resting" his Big Three, Coach Pop all but conceded the season series with the Nuggets, as the Nuggets (barely) won against the Spurs junior varsity squad.

Coach Pop's decision to give away that game had a lot of us in Nuggets Nation scratching our heads, as the Spurs weren't slated to play again until five days later that week. Was Coach Pop sending a signal to Nuggets head coach George Karl that he doesn't take the Nuggets seriously and figures if it comes down to a Game 7 in the playoffs, they know they could beat us on the road? Was he trying to instill confidence in his bench players? Was he teaching his Big Three a lesson after they had taken it easy for three-and-a-half quarters the night before at Golden State? Or was he just being his usual, arrogant self?

Regardless of the reasons, the decision may come back to haunt Coach Pop and the Spurs. With the Spurs losing their second straight game and fourth out of six, the Nugget suddenly find themselves a mere half game back of San Antonio, which is basically like being a half game up by owning that crucial tiebreaker. Moreover, if the Rockets finish second while the Nuggets and Spurs tie for the third best record, the Spurs would end up playing the Lakers in the second round, negating Pop's assumption that he could take down the Nuggets in Denver in a Game 7 as they'd never even meet in the playoffs. (Of course, we can't dismiss the fact that the Nuggets are a mere half game up on New Orleans, one game up on Portland and a game-and-a-half up on Utah.) So as we've watched Houston, Portland and New Orleans take care of business in the last week or so, the Spurs have done the opposite. Making what once seemed like a five-team race for second place in the Western Confernece a six-team race.

But at the end of the day, the Nuggets ultimate playoff position won't be had by relying on the Spurs and those other Western Conference foes to lose. Like the Rockets, Blazers and Hornets have done lately, the Nuggets need to take care of business...on the road. And even though Chauncey Billups has made statements about every game the rest of the way being a "playoff game" I question if his Nuggets teammates and his coach truly buy into that. Just the other day, The Denver Post's Dave Krieger (that sounds weird, doesn't it?) quoted Coach Karl with one of his patented underpromising statements saying: "I think if we go 3-2 or 2-3...it's going to be hard for teams to catch us" when referring to the Nuggets remaining five road games against plus-.500 teams.

I've got news for you George: you won't and don't need to go 5-0 against the Suns, Hornets, Mavericks, Lakers and Blazers (their five remaining road games against plus-.500 teams) to secure a second or a third seed in the conference, but you might have to go 4-1 to pull it off, including winning the next most important game of the season Wednesday at New Orleans. Going 2-3 against this fivesome - especially with a loss to the Hornets - could easily land the Nuggets in the fifth slot, or the fourth with no home court advantage. Either way, this wastes the golden opportunity the Nuggets have to jump a slot ahead of San Antonio thanks to Coach Pop's tiebreaking gift.

I know Coach Karl worships at the alter of all things Popovich. But just as we called it out back in early February, Coach Pop made a colossal mistake by not trying to beat the Nuggets in Denver that Tuesday night when he had the chance to do so. Now it's time for Karl to make him regret it.

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This 5 game stretch will truly let us know where the Nuggets stand at this point. I'm glad to see that the current win steak has been taken with a grain of salt and not as a sign that we have morphed into an elite force.

As for the Spurs, I think the only team they don't want in the first round is the Lakers. I really don't think home-court really matters to the Spurs as much as it does for other teams.

As for why Pop threw the other game against us, I'm not sure, but I'd say the reason would fall into the same category as Phil calling the loss vs the Nuggets a "garbage game." I just don't think those things are said and done to a peer that you respect, if you catch my drift.

I'm not sure how much revenge GK will be looking for. I think he pretty much realizes that he is done after this season if he's bounced in the first round regardless of who they play or how many times.

This all really makes me wonder how GK will sell his current his current situation to his players and how they'll respond. Will they collectively give it their all, and if so, what will be there motivation? To save their coach and keep the team together for another run, or out of "respect for the game," or pride? Will Melo snap and finally take a playoff game into his owan hands or will he just play his roll and see if GK can finally lead the team to victory. Maybe Melo will just cruise and then try to pick things up with a new coach next season. Any way it goes down, it will be interesting to watch. My personal guess for the Nuggets: First round exit (2-4), regardless of who they play. The best I could hope for is a WCF appearance. I'm willing to bet $500 to a 6-pack of Corona* that the Nugget don't make it out of the first round.


*(the beer, not the guy from RealGM)

by E on Mar 23, 2009 3:32 AM MDT reply actions  

Wow, E is a little negative this morning. You don't think the Nuggets players want to win in the playoffs? I see guys like Kenyon and Chauncey who really want to win this year and don't have a whole lot of years left to get it done. I guarantee you that Melo wants to win. It is killing him to never be out of the first round while his draft buddies have been to the Finals. The Nuggets are going to get home court advantage for the first time since the 1980's and this team will roll with that advantage. The key factor for how far they go in the playoffs is whether they can get that home court advantage in the second round as well. You've had 20+ years to be negative, now is the time to get behind this team and try to enjoy their success.

by Anonymous on Mar 23, 2009 8:20 AM MDT reply actions  

I agree with E, and also agree that it will be interesting to watch. The only thing I don't agree with is that they'll be bounced no matter who they play in the first round. Hey, if they get Dallas they should win. ;) The frustrating thing about these Nugs teams is that like E said, their motivation is always in question. Even though they're probably top 5 in overall talent, they seem to always be below average in motivation and basketball intelligence. Hopefully they'll get things in gear and do some damage in the playoffs! Regardless of any criticisms I might have of the team, I'm definitely behind them 100%!
Grant

by grantarchy on Mar 23, 2009 8:46 AM MDT reply actions  

While I cannot be overly positive, given this teams wishy-washy game play over the last 45 days, I won't be a Debby Downer either. The Nuggs could very well find themselves in a 2nd or 3rd seeded position come playoff time. I think Chauncey can turn it on and the other guys will follow suite. This team lacks a playoff mentality. Aside from CB their collective playoff experience is shallow. So I think it will be "on him" to show this team what NBA playoff basketball is.

On the other hand, the Nuggs could find themselves at the bottom of the Western Conf as a 6 or 7 seed and be quickly ejected from the race as we fans are all to uncomfortably familiar with. Karl's ineptitude in the post season may shine through and sink any hope this team has. That coupled with the general lack of confidence and discipline sometimes exhibited by the Nuggs will make us fans either hang on the edge of our seats each game, or change the chanel and see what Emeril is cooking up on chanel 47.

I'll end on an optimistic note. I see the Nuggets finishing in the top 4 and finally making it out of the 1st round. After that mental road block is overcome by this team, they will fight hard in the semi finals and play to their full potential. I'm no Nugstrodamus so I'll stop my prediction their. i just hope the Nuggets don't.

by joelsopinion on Mar 23, 2009 8:54 AM MDT reply actions  

So here is the starting lineup the Rockets had for their win against the Spurs. Brooks, Artest, Battier, Scola and Yao. A PG, C, and three guys 6-8. An athletic team that plays smart abuses this team. This lineup also plays to the Nuggets strengths because we can play Balkman a lot, which negates some of their energy hustle and he is also the perfect defender for Artest.

If you watched the game you know the Rockets HUSTLE back on D. They got picked apart by Parker though splitting double teams. JR can do exactly the same. Carmelo doesn't win a series against these guys with Artest and Battier. JR, Nene and Billups win it for us if they play well.

I would certainly prefer the Nuggets play the Rockets than the Spurs right now in a series. Unlike E, I'm a hope for the best guy, and I hope we get 3rd. Granted there is some optimism here but I'll take it when I can.

by NugzD on Mar 23, 2009 8:59 AM MDT reply actions  

Unfortunately, looking at the schedules the most likely scenario is Portland 53 wins, Denver 52 wins and Utah 50 wins. So we must win an unlikely game to win the division (we own the tie-breaker with Portland). Winning in Phoenix tonight would be huge.

by Catalan on Mar 23, 2009 10:13 AM MDT reply actions  

If you would have told me in July that we'd be wondering about 3rd or 4th in the Conference, I'd have called you dillusional. What a difference a trade makes.

I am more interested to see how we respond to this 12 game stretch run than I am about the playoffs. To me this is what will define the teams character.

I still think our bench is too short to make it too far into the playoffs. As the intensity gains momentum, key players get tired faster. AC and Kleiza are not strong enough to make an impact and will wilt. If we get beyond the first round, I'll be ecstatic, but I will not be downhearted if AC, Klieza, Johan and Jason cannot get the job done.

by saywhat? on Mar 23, 2009 10:49 AM MDT reply actions  

Great read Andrew, I love how you managed to bring that insulting game played by Pop and the Spurs back into the picture this late in the season. I too would love nothing more than for the Spurs to meet the Lakers in the 2nd round and have the Lakers absolutely demolish them (though in reality it will probably be a much closer battle). The Spurs have been the driving factor for my favorite NBA teams (Suns and Nugs) lack of postseason success for years now, so the longer the Spurs stay away from my teams from now on the happier I will become. I do hate the Lakers too, but at least they took us somewhat serious. As for the comment Karl chose to make about the road record, I actually agree that if we came out 3-2 or 2-3 we would still be ok, but still, the head coach of your pro basketball team who is known for lack of great body language and success should try to refrain from negative comments like as much as he can. Anyways, I can't wait for tonights game against Phoenix, my second favorite team. Hopefully the Nuggets can continue this streak as long as possible.

by Goldennugget on Mar 23, 2009 12:48 PM MDT reply actions  

Random comment:

Judging by how many points we've been giving up in the first quarter to sub-par teams, I think we need to have Dante Jones starting. JR is playing great, but I think we would be better off with him coming in off the bench.

My $.02

Our bench has been playing with so much passion, fire, and energy as of late. Did they replace Birdman's Gatorade with Red Bull, or what???

Go Nuggets!

by Do We Have Any Plays? on Mar 23, 2009 1:31 PM MDT reply actions  

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