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Why the Josh Howard implosion is great for the Nuggets...

From about 2005 to 2007 Josh Howard could do no wrong. He was mentioned regularly in those "best small forwards in the Western Conference" conversations, helped lead the Mavericks into the NBA Finals in 2006 and to a 67-win season after that, and was even added to the All-Star Game, handpicked by Commissioner David Stern.

But Howard has displayed some bizarre behavior over the past year, culminating with his pulling a Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf and dissing of the national anthem (all while wearing a "Melo" Ravens jersey that looks like something you'd buy in East LA). Adding the national anthem debacle to Howard's admission of "occasionally" smoking pot and throwing himself a birthday party after a playoff loss while the series was still going on, and he's starting to Carmelo Anthony look smart.

Regardless of why Howard is undergoing a personal implosion, its great news for Nuggets fans. I think we can all agree that the top six Western Conference playoff teams from 2008 - the Lakers, Hornets, Spurs, Jazz, Rockets and Suns - will all be back in the postseason in 2009. This leaves the seventh and eighth seeds to be fought over by the Nuggets, Trailblazers, Clippers, Warriors and Howard's Mavericks.

A lot of Denver Stiffs readers have written in assuming the Mavericks will be appearing in their ninth consecutive postseason (quite a feat when you consider that that franchise missed 10 consecutive postseasons prior...I give Mavericks owner and my Palms Hotel pool mate Mark Cuban all the credit), but I'm not so sure. Jason Kidd's aging process appears to have accelerated. The depth that they've been known for in past seasons has evaporated. And what's worse, the Mavericks have gotten older and much more expensive (third highest payroll in the NBA), but certainly not any better. I feel bad for their new coach Rick Carlisle already. Well, not that bad. In other words, its looking like there will be a season long, five team battle for those last two playoff spots.

Speaking of Mark Cuban, I bumped into Cuban at the pool of the Las Vegas Palms Hotel and Casino in 2002, about a week or so after Kiki Vandeweghe had traded Raef LaFrentz, Nick Van Exel, Tariq Abdul-Wahad and Avery Johnson to Dallas for Juwan Howard, Tim Hardaway, Donnell Harvey and a late first round draft pick. Cuban was just hanging out in the pool all alone, so I swam over to him, introduced myself as a big Nuggets fan and asked him how he felt about Kiki trading half our team, essentially guaranteeing the Mavericks a division title for years to come, while the Nuggets were undergoing an extreme makeover for the fourth time in 10 years. (We may look back at Raef and Nick as Stiffs, but Raef was averaging 15 points, seven rebounds and three blocks per game, and Nick was putting up 21 points and eight assists per outing. In their season-and-a-half in Dallas, Raef and Nick contributed to teams that won 57 and 62 games).

Cuban - having been Kiki's employer in Dallas for a few years beforehand - told me that "Kiki knows exactly what he's doing, and you guys will be back in the playoffs in two years." Looking at a roster with an injured Antonio McDyess plus Juwan Howard, Voshon Lenad, George McCloud, Calbert Cheaney, Ryan Bowen and so on, I didn't believe Cuban at all. But his vision proved to be prophetic as the Nuggets were indeed back in the NBA Playoffs in 2004 and the future looked bright.

Four years later, the Nuggets future is much murkier. But I'd rather have the Nuggets roster right now than the Mavericks', something I haven't been able to say since the dawn of the millennium.

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"I think we can all agree that the top six Western Conference playoff teams from 2008 - the Lakers, Hornets, Spurs, Jazz, Rockets and Suns -"

Not all. Say Blazers instead of Suns and then I agree.

by Catalan on Sep 18, 2008 6:41 PM MDT reply actions  

I think you're dead right on two things - the Mavs are in trouble and the Nuggets are in a better position going forward. I would take issue with the top 6 though. I think it's only a top 5. The Suns are 1 Nash or Amare injury away from being terrible, and even if those guys stay healthy, I'm not sure they are that good. And none of those other teams (Port, Den, Dal, LAC, GS) are good enough to be anointed top 6 teams at this point. Portland is too unproven (although perhaps awesome); Dallas is too old and not deep; Clippers will take time to gel and GS doesn't have their best player until December at the soonest.

Of the last 3 spots, I like Phoenix, Portland and Denver assuming everyone is healthy and would put Dallas next.

On a non-nugget note, the whole J-Howard things (minus the drag racing) don't really seem to matter at all to me even if they make him look less than brilliant. The other thing that people forget about Howard is how old he is because he spent 4 years at Wake Forest and was already 22 when he got in the league so he is also aging along with the rest of the Mavs.

by Eric B on Sep 18, 2008 7:19 PM MDT reply actions  

i disagree catalan. somewhat agree. the suns are over. shaq was a massive bust.

the blazers on the other hand. theyre still abit young for my liking.

i invite them to prove me wrong but

by andrew fisher on Sep 19, 2008 2:15 AM MDT reply actions  

The chances of the Blazers being a Top 6 team in the WC this year are pretty high IMO. I would bet money on it.

by catalan on Sep 19, 2008 7:10 AM MDT reply actions  

if the blazers make the playoffs with their inexperienced players I would be very surpised.

by Anonymous on Sep 19, 2008 10:57 AM MDT reply actions  

I don't see the whole big deal about this video thing. He was joking the whole time, you can't take too much offense to a joke. Still, I have always thought Josh Howard was a great player, and still is. But a great point was made by Andrew on the status of the Mavs at this point, besides age, whish is thier depth. They used to have great depth in their roster and now it seems like they have none. Lack of depth and old age are really going to haunt the Mavs this year, plus, like the Pistons their core has been in tact so long it almost seems as though their roster needs shaken up a bit. They should make some trades while they still have the talent to do so, kind of like how the Nuggets could have done with Camby. As for the playoff teams, I would be very suprised if the Blazers didn't make the playoffs, still they are a few years away from being serious contenders. As for the rest of the teams, it's really a toss up for the top 4 and bottom 4. I'd say top 4 are the Rockets, Jazz, Lakers and Hornets, while the bottom 4 are the Spurs, Nuggets, Blazers and Suns. I think the Clippers could also make the playoffs and actually be a really good team, but only time will tell. They are the darkhorse with a really underrated roster.

by Goldennugget on Sep 19, 2008 3:49 PM MDT reply actions  

Estic de acord amb Catalan, and I agree with Andrew as well.

I think the Suns and Mavs have fallen from the Western Conference elite. I think there's a chance the Spurs will fall off as well. These teams are getting old, old, old.

The Suns and Mavs were entirely unimpressive post-trades, and both teams, like the Nuggets, were easily dispatched in the playoffs. I think both will be barely above .500 teams. Still, I think the Nuggs will be a subprime asset of a basketball team. Our only hope is for Hank Paulson to bail the Nuggets out of K-Mart's contract.


Here's my predicted order this year:

1) Lakers
2) Rockets
3) Hornets
4) Jazz
5) Spurs
6) Blazers
7) Suns
8) Mavs
9) Clips
10) Nuggets
11) Warriors

The Lakers with Bynum will win 65 games. The next three are very good, and should all land around 55. Spurs will fall some but still be good. Blazers could win 50 games. After that, I think everyone else in the West will struggle to break .500.

by Kieran on Sep 20, 2008 9:29 AM MDT reply actions  

Please don't compare Josh Howard's joking remarks to the thoughtful and deeply felt political dissent expressed by Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf. Far from just being my favorite Nugget, Mahmoud was one of the best human beings to ever step foot on an NBA court, and his protest against the flag has roots in a long tradition of African American political dissent, namely that embodied by Malcolm X.

While I don't pretend to know much about Josh Howard's personality or political leanings, the tone of his remarks do not show any sort of involved contemplation, whereas Mahmoud put in a great deal of thought into his statement, stemming from re-inventing himself personally and spiritually during his time as a Nugget. I don't discount the basis of what Josh Howard said, as his ambivalence toward the US is a major through-line of the black experience that connects slave narratives to hip-hop, but his refusal of American patriotism is not the same as Mahmoud's.

by rauf is on fire on Sep 20, 2008 9:46 PM MDT reply actions  

I LOVED watching Mahmoud... I have 50 of his cards, watched (or listened on KOA to) honestly 100% of his games, 3 jerseys (with 2 different numbers), and know some of his game stats like the back of my hand.

I defended him and made excuses for him and watched the Nuggs suffer without him and so on and so on... to the point of exaustion.

But, Mahmoud was not a great person, he preached to his teammates constantly and had some terrible theory's about 9/11... I will always love him as a basketball player, and not standing for the anthem was his decision, and he had good reasons for it... but he was NOT a great person.

by John on Sep 20, 2008 11:12 PM MDT reply actions  

John... Just curious if you've ever sat and talked to Mahmoud, or seen him work in the community and reach out to people in trouble. I think there has been a general attempt to throw Mahmoud under the bus, so to speak, since his suspension in 1996... but soundbites and opinion pieces (sans context) don't change the life of someone I was lucky enough to talk to and see helping others, not to mention the fact that he overcame a number of extraordinary obstacles to become the player he was.

Not that I expect anyone on here to read African American scholarly journals, but Zareena Grewal had a good piece on the flag controversy in "Souls" last year... and it would be intructive reading for anyone interested.

by rauf is on fire on Sep 21, 2008 7:36 AM MDT reply actions  

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