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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

In defense of Anthony Carter (well, sort of)...

Ever since losing to the Sacramento Kings Practice Squad and the Oklahoma City ...errrr... Seattle "Super"sonics, I've received a number of comments placing the blame for the Nuggets failures on starting point guard Anthony Carter. Most blame Coach Karl for his (over)usage of him, while others blame AC directly for not being all that good to begin with.

I feel like I need to defend Carter himself in this situation, and lay the blame squarely at Coach Karl's (over)usage of him. Given what AC is - a backup point guard - I think he's done as a good a job, if not better, than can be expected of him. He's averaging a career high in every category including FG% (and yes, I know that's largely because he's getting more minutes), and is 13th in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio - ahead of Steve Nash, Brandon Roy, Deron Williams and Jason Kidd to name a few. And in terms of assists per minute, he's 8th.

I know AC is a huge deficit defensively, but with the new non-hand checking rules in the NBA, almost every true point guard is an awful defender. Moreover, it's almost indisputable that he gives as good an effort on a nightly basis as anyone on the Nuggets, including Allen Iverson (although that might not be saying much). And AC deserves praise for having no ego about Chucky Atkins' return, which never amounted to much of anything anyway (as predicted here), but could have possibly reduced AC's minutes.

That being said, AC should not be starting on the Nuggets. If you look at the other eight playoff teams in the West, seven of them have at least four starters who can make an outside shot with relative consistency:

-New Orleans (Chris Paul, Peja Stojakovic, David West, Morris Peterson)
-LA Lakers (Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Derek Fisher, Vladimir Radmonovic)
-San Antonio (Tim Duncan, Bruce Bown, Tony Parker, Michael Finley)
-Utah (Deron Williams, Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur, Andrei Kirilenko)
-Phoenix (Steve Nash, Amare Stoudamire, Raja Bell, Grant Hill)
-Houston (Tracy McGrady, Rafer Alston, Shane Battier, Luis Scola)
-Golden State (Al Harrington, Baron Davis, Stephen Jackson, Monta Ellis)

Whereas the Nuggets (Carmelo Anthony, Allen Iverson, Marcus Camby - albeit a stretch here) - like Dallas (Dirk Nowitzki, Josh Howard, Jason Terry) - have only three starters capable of making an outside shot, and AC hurts us here, too. In my opinion, to win in the Western Conference you have to have four players who can hit a mid-range jumper on the floor as much as possible. And Coach Karl's reluctance to give better shooters like J.R. Smith and Linas Kleiza more minutes in favor of the more workmanlike (and easier to coach) Anthony Carter has definitely hurt the Nuggets this season.

So let's stop blaming AC. He's given the Nuggets more effort for his $1 million, one-year contract than his coach has given us for his $15 million, five-year contract.

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"And Coach Karl's reluctance to give better shooters like J.R. Smith and Linas Kleiza more minutes in favor of the more workmanlike (and easier to coach) Anthony Carter has definitely hurt the Nuggets this season."

Bingo.

"I feel like I need to defend Carter himself in this situation, and lay the blame squarely at Coach Karl's (over)usage of him. Given what AC is - a backup point guard - I think he's done as a good a job, if not better, than can be expected of him."

Bingo, again.

I love what Carter has brought this season. The problem is how Karl is using him.

"That being said, AC should not be starting on the Nuggets"

I've got no problem with AC starting, just as long as J.R. Smith finishes. Carter can start, just as long as he plays 20mpg while J.R. plays 35mpg. Carter can play the 1st quarter just as long as J.R. plays the fourth quarter.

"the Nuggets (Carmelo Anthony, Allen Iverson, Marcus Camby) ... have only three starters capable of making an outside shot"

Disagree here. I'd bet Camby is shooting about 38% on his 18 to 20 ft set shots. Or in other words, the Nuggets have only two starters capable of making an outside shot at an effective percentage.

"He's averaging a career high in every category including FG% (and yes, I know that's largely because he's getting more minutes)"

Carter's increased FG% is not about the increased minutes. It's about playing with Iverson.

Iverson draws enough attention from the defense that whoever plays in the backcourt with him will end up with a lot of utterly open looks.

Throughout his career, playing with Iverson has let guys like Eric Snow, Aaron McKie, Steve Blake, and Anthony Carter shoot better than they have any right to because they are left uncovered. I can't really play hoops, but yet I think that if I could play guard with Iverson for a year, someone would give me a $5 million NBA contract based on the stats I'd put up.

-----

Karl's psychological inability to let go of Carter and turn to J.R. is the best rationale for the FGK theory.

Playing big minutes of Camby, Martin, and Carter with AI and 'Melo lets defenses load up on AI and 'Melo without having to pay a price. That's bad coaching.

by Petey on Apr 8, 2008 4:06 PM MDT reply actions  

I still believe the Nuggets made a tremendous error by not resigning Steve Blake, who was probably the best point guard they could have gotten. Since Karl played a key role in turning down the Artest deal, I believe he also played a role in letting Blake go. I mean Blake could do more with the Ball than Carter could, and he and Nene were deadly in the pick and roll. People need to remember the Nuggets won 10 out of 11 of their last games to end the season last year. "Steve Blake, I miss ya man, you were truly undervalued by the Nuggets management and coaching staff."

by j2y2k3 on Apr 8, 2008 4:30 PM MDT reply actions  

Excellent analysis, Petey.

by Kieran on Apr 8, 2008 5:12 PM MDT reply actions  

In Karl's defense on the Steve Blake issue, it was pretty well known that Blake (as I understand it, most his wife; damn women!) really loved living in Portland and wanted to go back.

I loved the guy's play, but I don't think he would have been worth the money it would have taken to get him to settle for living in Denver.

Even if they had given him a big pay day, if a guy is unhappy in his surroundings, his play may have suffered.

by Chris C. on Apr 8, 2008 9:15 PM MDT reply actions  

the guy is the worst player in the NBA. end of story. give taurean green a chance.

by Anonymous on Apr 9, 2008 8:31 AM MDT reply actions  

"I still believe the Nuggets made a tremendous error by not resigning Steve Blake, who was probably the best point guard they could have gotten."

They basically decided to trade Blake for Atkins.

And, at time, it seemed a reasonable move to me.

Atkins would've been a sideways move for the team from Blake, and it would've saved them some non-trivial money off the luxury tax. The only real problem is that Atkins' advancing age for a little guy made him look risky for the big minutes they were going to need out of him, injury wise.

And that injury risk came through in a big way.

If they'd known Atkins wasn't going to be able to play, it obviously would've preferable to have kept the perfectly serviceable Blake. They certainly would've been a better team with Blake taking Carter's minutes.

by Petey on Apr 9, 2008 4:26 PM MDT reply actions  

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